FanBoardHQ

Washington State

Washington State University · 2025 · Pac-12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#56
Efficiency
+4.6
52nd FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
1-1
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 2
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Washington State went 7-6 and was ranked 56th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 26th-ranked defense carried them, with a 74th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 67th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with an 82nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
0-1
Q3
2-0
Q4
5-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
60th
-2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
58th
full season
58th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
2nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~1.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs IdahoBig SkyW 1310+24.4100%-16.8Q4
2vs San Diego StateMountain West#47W 3613+2.5100%22.1Q3
3@ North TexasAmerican Athletic#21L 1059-11.90%-27.1Q1
4vs WashingtonBig Ten#20L 2459-10.70%-17.8Q1
5@ Colorado StateMountain West#130W 203+18.2100%4.9Q4
7@ Ole MissSEC#9L 2124-17.10%18.6Q1
8@ VirginiaACC#23L 2022-9.10%10.8Q1
9vs ToledoMid-American#59W 287+1.2100%24.9Q3
10@ Oregon StatePac-12#127L 710+15.40%-14.0Q4
12vs Louisiana TechConference USA#75W 283+11.6100%19.8Q4
13@ James MadisonSun Belt#22L 2024-7.80%6.1Q2
14vs Oregon StatePac-12#127W 328+20.9100%13.4Q4
Postseason
vs Utah StateMountain West#81W 3421+7.5100%14.8Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-22.9-1.1+20.7-1722-27-185191125-1420613Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 67th
SR 44thYPP 80thEPA 77th
RushingEff 82nd
SR 53rdYPP 96thEPA 92nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 16th
SR 22ndYPP 21stEPA 20th
Rush defenseEff 47th
SR 49thYPP 50thEPA 45th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +4.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 42nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 35%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 54.0Q1 · Allowed: 48.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 120.0Q2 · Allowed: 61.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 50.0Q3 · Allowed: 48.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 69.0Q4 · Allowed: 90.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashington StateOffenseDefense
Washington State Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 74th
-1.1
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -0.6
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -0.6= -1.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 86th · Finishing 71st

Defensive EffRanked 26th
+6.7
Field position: -1.8Finishing drives: +8.5
Field position -1.8Finishing drives +8.5= +6.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 119th · Finishing 10th

1.95 points per drive on offense, 1.63 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(206)60% / 40%44%5.5
Q2(245)53% / 47%49%6.3
Q3(179)49% / 51%37%5.2
Q4(206)43% / 57%42%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(167)10.044%6.8
2nd(136)8.844%6.1
3rd(114)8.737%5.7
4th(12)4.667%6.8
All (429)43%6.3
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(201)9.841%4.5
2nd(139)7.643%4.6
3rd(57)4.449%4.6
4th(10)1.280%3.2
All (407)44%4.5

Washington State, all games.