FanBoardHQ

UTEP

University of Texas at El Paso · 2025 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#132
Efficiency
-19.5
128th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 12
UTEP Fanboard →

UTEP went 2-10 and was ranked 132nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 112th-ranked defense carried them, with a 132nd-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 136th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 123rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
0-1
Q4
2-8

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
132nd
-8.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
125th
full season
125th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
118th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ Utah StateMountain West#81L 1628-19.40%-10.2Q3
2vs UT MartinOVC-Big SouthW 4217+9.6100%-4.3Q4
3@ TexasSEC#14L 1027-37.70%-1.6Q1
4vs ULMSun Belt#128L 2531+4.60%-34.5Q4
5vs Louisiana TechConference USA#75L 1130-12.50%-25.1Q4
7vs LibertyConference USA#115L 819-6.50%-27.1Q4
8vs Sam HoustonConference USA#133W 3517+7.2100%-11.8Q4
10@ Kennesaw StateConference USA#61L 2033-15.60%-16.4Q4
11vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#83L 2730-5.10%-18.0Q4
12@ Missouri StateConference USA#85L 2438-13.30%-28.3Q4
13vs New Mexico StateConference USA#119L 3134-2.00%-21.4Q4
14@ DelawareConference USA#98L 3161-7.00%-35.6Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTEP, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-32.7-17.8-2.8-10-4-2-35-25-27-12-16-18-28-21-36Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 136th
SR 138thYPP 132ndEPA 137th
RushingEff 123rd
SR 128thYPP 132ndEPA 113th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 107th
SR 124thYPP 99thEPA 97th
Rush defenseEff 64th
SR 54thYPP 91stEPA 60th
Dropback rate 55%Tempo -0.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 99th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 35%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 33%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 63.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 79.0Q2 · Allowed: 98.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 64.0Q3 · Allowed: 59.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 66.0Q4 · Allowed: 85.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTEPOffenseDefense
UTEP Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 132nd
-13.1
Field position: -1.6Finishing drives: -11.4
Field position -1.6Finishing drives -11.4= -13.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 115th · Finishing 129th

Defensive EffRanked 112th
-6.3
Field position: -2.7Finishing drives: -3.6
Field position -2.7Finishing drives -3.6= -6.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 130th · Finishing 98th

1.49 points per drive on offense, 2.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(170)54% / 46%31%5.5
Q2(223)51% / 49%37%4.9
Q3(194)51% / 49%35%4.8
Q4(194)69% / 31%34%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(171)10.336%6.2
2nd(129)7.936%6.1
3rd(116)8.126%4.4
4th(21)6.229%5.2
All (437)33%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(153)9.834%4.0
2nd(117)8.228%4.4
3rd(56)5.346%4.6
4th(18)2.172%2.9
All (344)36%4.2

UTEP, all games.