New Mexico State
New Mexico State University · 2024 · Conference USA
New Mexico State went 3-9 and was ranked 127th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 123rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 131st-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 57% of offensive plays with an 114th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 137th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southeast Missouri State | Big South-OVC | — | W 23–16 | -1.8 | 100% | -15.9 | Q4 |
| 2 | vs Liberty | Conference USA | #85 | L 24–30 | -10.3 | 0% | -19.4 | Q4 |
| 3 | @ Fresno State | Mountain West | #93 | L 0–48 | -21.6 | 0% | -38.5 | Q3 |
| 4 | @ Sam Houston | Conference USA | #56 | L 11–31 | -19.4 | 0% | -26.6 | Q4 |
| 5 | vs New Mexico | Mountain West | #107 | L 40–50 | -7.1 | 0% | -31.8 | Q4 |
| 7 | @ Jacksonville State | Conference USA | #69 | L 13–54 | -23.5 | 0% | -32.2 | Q3 |
| 8 | vs Louisiana Tech | Conference USA | #111 | W 33–30 | -7.5 | 100% | -13.4 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs FIU | Conference USA | #115 | L 13–34 | -12.4 | 0% | -32.2 | Q4 |
| 11 | vs Western Kentucky | Conference USA | #80 | L 28–41 | -14.6 | 0% | -23.3 | Q4 |
| 12 | @ Texas A&M | SEC | #27 | L 3–38 | -41.9 | 0% | -14.9 | Q1 |
| 13 | @ Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | #130 | W 36–21 | +2.3 | 100% | -6.5 | Q4 |
| 14 | vs UTEP | Conference USA | #126 | L 35–42 | +0.9 | 0% | -34.2 | Q4 |
12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on New Mexico State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 124th · Finishing 130th
Field position 105th · Finishing 125th
1.67 points per drive on offense, 2.72 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(202) | 42% / 58% | 40% | 5.2 |
| Q2(193) | 44% / 56% | 36% | 4.3 |
| Q3(167) | 44% / 56% | 34% | 4.9 |
| Q4(221) | 46% / 54% | 46% | 5.4 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(112) | 10.1 | 27% | 5.5 |
| 2nd(108) | 9.0 | 31% | 3.9 |
| 3rd(113) | 8.0 | 34% | 4.5 |
| 4th(10) | 7.7 | 30% | 5.2 |
| All (343) | — | 30% | 4.7 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(226) | 9.8 | 45% | 4.9 |
| 2nd(150) | 7.8 | 44% | 5.5 |
| 3rd(58) | 4.3 | 59% | 5.8 |
| 4th(6) | 1.7 | 50% | 1.2 |
| All (440) | — | 46% | 5.2 |
New Mexico State, all games.