FanBoardHQ

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech University · 2024 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#111
Efficiency
-13.8
117th FBS
Record
5-8
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
5th
of 10
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Louisiana Tech went 5-8 and was ranked 111th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 80th-ranked defense carried them, with a 130th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 126th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 137th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
4-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
108th
-6.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
123rd
full season
123rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
122nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs NichollsSouthlandW 2517+15.2100%-21.7Q4
3@ NC StateACC#87L 2030-13.10%-12.9Q3
4vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#131L 2023+20.40%-34.8Q4
5vs FIUConference USA#115L 1017-2.10%-18.8Q4
7vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#130W 4821+18.0100%2.6Q4
8@ New Mexico StateConference USA#127L 3033+7.50%-24.4Q4
9vs UTEPConference USA#126W 1410+11.2100%-21.2Q4
10@ Sam HoustonConference USA#56L 39-9.20%-10.5Q4
11vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#69L 3744-7.70%-7.4Q4
12@ Western KentuckyConference USA#80W 127-9.9100%1.0Q3
13@ ArkansasSEC#44L 1435-24.00%-12.3Q2
14vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 330+12.9100%2.9Q4
Postseason
vs ArmyAmerican Athletic#28L 627-25.70%-21.7Q2

13 played · 5-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Louisiana Tech, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-31.8-16.0-0.1-22-13-35-193-24-21-11-71-123Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 126th
SR 123rdYPP 121stEPA 127th
RushingEff 137th
SR 129thYPP 136thEPA 137th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 56th
SR 51stYPP 54thEPA 59th
Rush defenseEff 72nd
SR 58thYPP 68thEPA 82nd
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 99th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 35%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 48.0Q1 · Allowed: 59.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 99.0Q2 · Allowed: 68.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 51.0Q3 · Allowed: 52.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 71.0Q4 · Allowed: 81.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledLouisiana TechOffenseDefense
Louisiana Tech Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 130th
-12.4
Field position: +0.2Finishing drives: -12.6
Field position +0.2Finishing drives -12.6= -12.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 52nd · Finishing 131st

Defensive EffRanked 80th
-1.8
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -1.8
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -1.8= -1.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 65th · Finishing 81st

1.58 points per drive on offense, 1.62 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 35.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(196)56% / 44%41%4.9
Q2(223)48% / 52%42%5.8
Q3(205)56% / 44%34%4.9
Q4(244)46% / 54%34%4.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(154)10.146%6.8
2nd(145)8.230%4.4
3rd(130)8.342%7.5
4th(15)4.213%1.8
All (444)39%6.1
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)9.635%4.0
2nd(139)7.236%3.9
3rd(66)5.738%3.4
4th(8)2.663%4.6
All (424)36%3.9

Louisiana Tech, all games.