FanBoardHQ

UTEP

University of Texas at El Paso · 2024 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#126
Efficiency
-22.2
128th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-6th
of 10
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UTEP went 3-9 and was ranked 126th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 114th-ranked defense carried them, with a 132nd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 126th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 130th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-6

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
125th
-7.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
114th
full season
114th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
125th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ NebraskaBig Ten#43L 740-34.60%-21.1Q2
2vs Southern UtahUACL 2427+1.00%-25.7Q4
3@ LibertyConference USA#85L 1028-13.90%-25.5Q4
4@ Colorado StateMountain West#74L 1727-16.30%-15.9Q4
6vs Sam HoustonConference USA#56L 2141-12.10%-31.9Q4
7@ Western KentuckyConference USA#80L 1744-18.30%-31.6Q3
8vs FIUConference USA#115W 3021-7.8100%-6.5Q4
9@ Louisiana TechConference USA#111L 1014-11.20%-14.8Q4
10vs Middle TennesseeConference USA#130L 1320+9.60%-38.8Q4
11vs Kennesaw StateConference USA#132W 4335+4.5100%-24.4Q4
13@ TennesseeSEC#11L 056-41.10%-18.5Q1
14@ New Mexico StateConference USA#127W 4235-0.9100%-12.1Q4

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTEP, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-35.7-19.4-3.1-21-26-26-16-32-32-7-15-39-24-18-12Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 130th
SR 129thYPP 120thEPA 129th
RushingEff 126th
SR 122ndYPP 131stEPA 127th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 112th
SR 111thYPP 111thEPA 112th
Rush defenseEff 96th
SR 75thYPP 106thEPA 101st
Dropback rate 48%Tempo -2.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 51.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 41.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 54.0Q3 · Allowed: 104.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 52.0Q4 · Allowed: 84.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTEPOffenseDefense
UTEP Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 132nd
-14.3
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: -12.9
Field position -1.4Finishing drives -12.9= -14.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 110th · Finishing 132nd

Defensive EffRanked 114th
-7.4
Field position: -3.0Finishing drives: -4.4
Field position -3.0Finishing drives -4.4= -7.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 133rd · Finishing 103rd

1.32 points per drive on offense, 2.36 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(187)48% / 52%41%5.8
Q2(212)51% / 49%32%3.8
Q3(183)46% / 54%38%5.7
Q4(201)52% / 48%41%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(153)10.346%7.0
2nd(116)7.934%6.8
3rd(106)8.330%4.5
4th(11)7.19%0.3
All (386)37%6.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(175)10.041%4.5
2nd(137)8.133%4.0
3rd(69)5.543%4.1
4th(16)2.244%3.5
All (397)39%4.2

UTEP, all games.