FanBoardHQ

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State University · 2022 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#40
Efficiency
+6.0
44th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-5
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 10
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Oklahoma State went 7-6 and was ranked 40th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 23rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 72nd-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 63rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 78th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-3
Q2
3-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
38th
-0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
22nd
full season
22nd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
21st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Central MichiganMid-American#115W 5844+24.2100%6.3Q4
2vs Arizona StatePac-12#106W 3417+13.2100%8.1Q4
3vs Arkansas-Pine BluffSWACW 637+53.5100%9.9Q4
5@ BaylorBig 12#54W 3625-5.2100%21.9Q2
6vs Texas TechBig 12#20W 4131-1.4100%16.9Q2
7@ TCUBig 12#2L 4043-15.10%19.2Q1
8vs TexasBig 12#17W 4134-11.4100%23.4Q1
9@ Kansas StateBig 12#7L 048-15.50%-22.8Q1
10@ KansasBig 12#49L 1637-3.90%-16.8Q2
11vs Iowa StateBig 12#70W 2014-0.0100%11.3Q2
12@ OklahomaBig 12#48L 1328-7.20%-1.1Q1
13vs West VirginiaBig 12#63L 1924+4.50%-3.1Q3
Postseason
vs WisconsinBig Ten#47L 1724-3.60%4.0Q2

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Oklahoma State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-19.1+0.3+19.7681022171923-23-1711-1-3Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 63rd
SR 63rdYPP 51stEPA 78th
RushingEff 78th
SR 92ndYPP 93rdEPA 65th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 61st
SR 42ndYPP 51stEPA 80th
Rush defenseEff 21st
SR 21stYPP 76thEPA 14th
Dropback rate 56%Tempo +7.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 58th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 44%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 33%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 90.0Q1 · Allowed: 110.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 123.0Q2 · Allowed: 103.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 69.0Q3 · Allowed: 86.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 92.0Q4 · Allowed: 75.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOklahoma StateOffenseDefense
Oklahoma State Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 72nd
-1.3
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: -2.5
Field position +1.2Finishing drives -2.5= -1.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 26th · Finishing 79th

Defensive EffRanked 23rd
+7.2
Field position: +2.1Finishing drives: +5.0
Field position +2.1Finishing drives +5.0= +7.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 9th · Finishing 29th

1.89 points per drive on offense, 1.90 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(242)59% / 41%39%6.2
Q2(270)56% / 44%44%5.4
Q3(214)54% / 46%37%5.5
Q4(267)53% / 47%37%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(224)10.142%7.0
2nd(184)8.444%7.2
3rd(132)8.129%4.8
4th(10)5.330%4.2
All (550)39%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(222)9.636%3.8
2nd(147)7.537%5.2
3rd(68)5.553%4.5
4th(6)1.350%1.2
All (443)40%4.3

Oklahoma State, all games.