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Mid-American

2022 · through CFP Finals

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Mid-American was the 11th-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Ohio led the conference, ranked 62nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Ohio78491210-47-27.0
Toledo7666119-56-36.0
Bowling Green1219116-75-35.0
Buffalo948347-65-35.0
Eastern Michigan1016499-45-35.0
Kent State1009525-74-44.0
Miami-OH10996106-74-44.0
Western Michigan12010575-74-44.0
Ball State11210335-73-53.0
Central Michigan11711284-83-53.0
Northern Illinois12412363-92-62.0
Akron12212752-101-71.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

OhioToledoBowling GreenBuffaloEastern MichiganKent StateMiami-OHWestern MichiganBall StateCentral MichiganNorthern IllinoisAkron
OhioW 17-7L 14-38L 24-45·W 31-24L 21-37L 14-33L 18-32·L 17-24L 34-55
ToledoL 7-17W 42-35W 34-27L 24-27L 31-52·W 20-14L 21-28L 17-38L 32-52·
Bowling GreenW 38-14L 35-42W 38-7·W 40-6L 13-17L 9-13·L 18-34·L 28-31
BuffaloW 45-24L 27-34L 7-38L 31-50W 30-27L 20-24··W 31-27·L 22-23
Eastern Michigan·W 27-24·W 50-31L 24-31·L 23-45L 16-20L 19-38W 39-10L 28-34
Kent StateL 24-31W 52-31L 6-40L 27-30W 31-24W 27-24·W 27-20··L 27-33
Miami-OHW 37-21·W 17-13W 24-20·L 24-27W 16-10L 17-18·L 23-29L 9-27
Western MichiganW 33-14L 14-20W 13-9·W 45-23·L 10-16L 30-37L 10-12W 24-21·
Ball StateW 32-18W 28-21··W 20-16L 20-27W 18-17W 37-30L 16-17L 38-44·
Central Michigan·W 38-17W 34-18L 27-31W 38-19··W 12-10W 17-16L 22-35L 21-28
Northern IllinoisW 24-17W 52-32··L 10-39·W 29-23L 21-24W 44-38W 35-22W 44-12
AkronW 55-34·W 31-28W 23-22W 34-28W 33-27W 27-9··W 28-21L 12-44
Exp. wins for a #25 team8.28.17.17.17.37.17.37.27.17.37.27.1
Conf. sched. difficulty rank12th11th1st4th9th2nd10th7th3rd8th6th5th
Projected conf. wins7.06.05.05.05.04.04.04.03.03.02.01.0
Conference record7-26-35-35-35-34-44-44-43-53-52-61-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Ohio0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Toledo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Bowling Green0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Buffalo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Eastern Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Kent State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Miami-OH0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Western Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Ball State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Central Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Northern Illinois0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Akron0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Ohio2287561261119778
Toledo55857931757576
Bowling Green99118117100106112121
Buffalo6712887831019594
Eastern Michigan738166101118113101
Kent State75356313099118100
Miami-OH1191041181106486109
Western Michigan1271321291219483120
Ball State1291141266110479112
Central Michigan1228812589102103117
Northern Illinois103749313595129124
Akron11710811011481117122

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
OhioToledo

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Ohio0-10-10-010-210-4
Toledo0-10-00-09-49-5
Bowling Green0-20-01-15-46-7
Buffalo0-00-10-17-47-6
Eastern Michigan0-00-01-18-39-4
Kent State0-30-00-15-35-7
Miami-OH0-00-10-26-46-7
Western Michigan0-00-10-25-45-7
Ball State0-10-00-15-55-7
Central Michigan0-10-10-14-54-8
Northern Illinois0-00-10-23-63-9
Akron0-10-00-32-62-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
Ohio-5.9-10.2-18.8-17.6-7.211.62.7-13.49.34.22.25.2-13.3
Toledo-14.512.3-12.5-7.45.719.58.0-11.2-2.0-11.1-26.1-18.75.3
Bowling Green-10.1-21.7-2.2-17.7-22.7-44.5-10.43.4-15.5-38.45.3-26.2
Buffalo-13.0-15.1-18.313.3-9.619.92.6-0.4-21.1-17.7-14.8-19.5
Eastern Michigan-11.6-26.110.2-30.9-21.818.6-46.7-8.9-11.8-5.2-0.6-0.6
Kent State-17.0-15.7-7.314.9-5.8-10.0-20.8-15.0-23.212.5-18.3-1.8
Miami-OH-12.9-31.1-12.0-2.2-11.4-12.3-19.9-23.45.6-21.7-11.1-14.8
Western Michigan-15.4-7.8-18.1-34.47.3-45.1-23.4-6.6-18.0-25.1-11.1-1.8
Ball State-20.7-22.9-13.6-15.9-17.8-11.7-12.0-15.20.1-7.0-20.4-12.7
Central Michigan-15.8-19.3-12.83.9-25.0-17.9-11.5-35.8-0.4-5.4-21.0-24.8
Northern Illinois-26.5-8.1-19.3-0.4-15.2-50.317.9-9.5-33.9-10.4-21.1-49.2
Akron-17.2-34.3-23.6-10.3-12.8-34.3-22.5-12.5-37.5-23.311.9-6.7