FanBoardHQ

Pac-12

2022 · through CFP Finals

Pac-12 was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 6 teams in the top 25. USC led the conference, ranked 10th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
USC15101211-38-28.0
Utah7181110-48-28.0
Oregon1411710-37-27.0
Washington17121011-27-27.0
Oregon State1213810-36-36.0
UCLA292599-46-36.0
Washington State324737-64-54.0
Arizona707345-73-63.0
Arizona State8011353-92-72.0
California669864-82-72.0
Colorado12512821-111-81.0
Stanford9010713-91-81.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins10 wins
USC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Utah0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Oregon0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Washington0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Oregon State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UCLA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Washington State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Arizona0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Arizona State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
California0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Colorado0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Stanford0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
USC3162851329015
Utah2927151449147
Oregon610351356014
Washington821662486817
Oregon State464427456712
UCLA126874748229
Washington State70425249581532
Arizona2717209213312170
Arizona State6968627312410980
California841279465653466
Colorado130131113117107115125
Stanford9082100371378190

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
USCUtah

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
USC2-32-03-04-011-3
Utah3-31-11-05-010-4
Oregon1-32-03-04-010-3
Washington3-11-01-16-011-2
Oregon State1-33-03-03-010-3
UCLA2-20-12-05-19-4
Washington State1-50-12-04-07-6
Arizona1-50-10-14-05-7
Arizona State1-30-30-22-13-9
California0-50-20-04-14-8
Colorado0-70-20-11-11-11
Stanford1-60-10-12-13-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
USC27.911.130.724.810.823.722.011.84.96.412.523.6-1.3
Utah7.522.621.627.137.33.413.415.221.421.216.825.836.7
Oregon-20.318.726.816.520.731.223.026.516.96.919.517.0
Washington22.913.513.216.10.7-12.66.610.916.824.524.329.7
Oregon State19.910.831.88.2-5.70.120.714.215.426.027.416.8
UCLA2.92.3-1.815.023.926.13.219.416.9-11.812.97.7
Washington State-3.815.620.39.416.61.36.013.931.110.921.9-5.5
Arizona12.7-8.51.5-14.98.0-20.87.42.9-2.620.6-13.4-4.2
Arizona State11.7-6.6-24.6-11.90.323.0-5.5-7.6-11.7-6.0-14.6-1.2
California13.6-7.47.913.9-7.3-17.43.9-10.110.7-8.7-1.91.9
Colorado-15.3-14.0-28.3-24.4-28.0-1.8-16.1-16.1-19.5-9.9-29.3-27.1
Stanford-0.6-2.0-7.8-10.810.616.4-5.6-16.2-31.9-8.0-4.7-18.2