FanBoardHQ

Stanford

Stanford University · 2025 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#91
Efficiency
-5.4
85th FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
12th
of 17
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Stanford went 4-8 and was ranked 91st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 66th-ranked defense carried them, with a 99th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with a 96th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with an 113th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-5
Q2
1-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
95th
-3.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
26th
full season
26th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
33rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ Hawai'iMountain West#63L 2023-3.60%-3.4Q3
2@ BYUBig 12#6L 327-25.90%-6.3Q1
3vs Boston CollegeACC#124W 3020+7.3100%-2.3Q4
4@ VirginiaACC#23L 2048-19.10%-14.0Q1
5vs San José StateMountain West#123W 3029+12.0100%-15.2Q4
7@ SMUACC#31L 1034-20.10%-11.1Q1
8vs Florida StateACC#65W 2013-12.3100%14.2Q2
9@ Miami-FLACC#3L 742-32.90%-1.0Q1
10vs PittsburghACC#40L 2035-12.90%-13.5Q2
11@ North CarolinaACC#103L 1520+1.80%-11.8Q4
13vs CaliforniaACC#77W 3110+1.8100%15.3Q4
14vs Notre DameFBS Independents#11L 2049-30.10%-16.0Q1

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Stanford, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.5-0.3+12.8-3-6-2-14-15-1114-1-14-1215-16Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 96th
SR 96thYPP 112thEPA 85th
RushingEff 113th
SR 106thYPP 116thEPA 116th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 59th
SR 37thYPP 56thEPA 80th
Rush defenseEff 40th
SR 44thYPP 46thEPA 36th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo -3.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 43rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 32%2nd · Defense allowed: 42%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 43.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 57.0Q2 · Allowed: 119.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 30.0Q3 · Allowed: 72.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 79.0Q4 · Allowed: 66.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledStanfordOffenseDefense
Stanford Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 99th
-5.6
Field position: -0.5Finishing drives: -5.2
Field position -0.5Finishing drives -5.2= -5.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 85th · Finishing 101st

Defensive EffRanked 66th
-0.1
Field position: -1.9Finishing drives: +1.8
Field position -1.9Finishing drives +1.8= -0.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 120th · Finishing 56th

1.37 points per drive on offense, 2.23 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 25.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(173)53% / 47%38%4.7
Q2(209)55% / 45%34%4.4
Q3(172)53% / 47%34%3.9
Q4(220)58% / 42%43%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(148)10.550%7.5
2nd(131)9.729%4.0
3rd(134)7.831%5.0
4th(13)7.146%7.5
All (426)37%5.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(178)9.631%3.8
2nd(113)6.635%4.0
3rd(46)3.765%4.4
4th(11)1.073%2.0
All (348)38%3.9

Stanford, all games.