FanBoardHQ

Boston College

Boston College · 2025 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#124
Efficiency
-9.9
99th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-16th
of 17
Boston College Fanboard →

Boston College went 2-10 and was ranked 124th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 85th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 118th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 60th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 63rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
0-3
Q3
0-3
Q4
2-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
128th
-6.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
57th
full season
57th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
49th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.5 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs FordhamPatriotW 6610+30.3100%-12.9Q4
2@ Michigan StateBig Ten#86L 4042-12.60%-2.0Q3
3@ StanfordACC#91L 2030-7.30%-12.9Q3
5vs CaliforniaACC#77L 2428-2.70%-12.9Q4
6@ PittsburghACC#40L 748-22.90%-30.4Q2
7vs ClemsonACC#53L 1041-15.00%-30.7Q2
8vs UConnFBS Independents#69L 2338-3.20%-22.1Q4
9@ LouisvilleACC#29L 2438-23.70%1.4Q1
10vs Notre DameFBS Independents#11L 1025-34.60%6.1Q1
11vs SMUACC#31L 1345-19.10%-17.9Q2
12vs Georgia TechACC#36L 3436-14.40%0.8Q3
14@ SyracuseACC#116W 3412-0.3100%14.7Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Boston College, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.0-8.0+11.0-13-2-13-13-30-31-2216-18115Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 60th
SR 54thYPP 67thEPA 65th
RushingEff 63rd
SR 64thYPP 72ndEPA 59th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 88th
SR 42ndYPP 97thEPA 105th
Rush defenseEff 86th
SR 69thYPP 100thEPA 85th
Dropback rate 58%Tempo +2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 49th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 41%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 43.0Q1 · Allowed: 74.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 102.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 58.0Q3 · Allowed: 79.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 87.0Q4 · Allowed: 113.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBoston CollegeOffenseDefense
Boston College Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 85th
-2.9
Field position: -2.9Finishing drives: -0.0
Field position -2.9Finishing drives -0.0= -2.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 134th · Finishing 65th

Defensive EffRanked 118th
-7.3
Field position: +0.0Finishing drives: -7.4
Field position +0.0Finishing drives -7.4= -7.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 64th · Finishing 121st

1.91 points per drive on offense, 2.57 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(193)48% / 52%44%5.9
Q2(265)66% / 34%46%5.8
Q3(173)56% / 44%43%5.5
Q4(204)64% / 36%42%6.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)10.150%8.4
2nd(168)8.045%6.2
3rd(123)7.933%5.7
4th(21)7.643%3.5
All (494)44%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(185)9.742%5.0
2nd(104)6.240%4.1
3rd(44)3.855%2.8
4th(8)1.875%6.4
All (341)44%4.5

Boston College, all games.