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Tulane

Tulane University · 2026 · American Athletic

Efficiency
-2.3
74th FBS
Record
1-1
Conf. record
Conf. finish
8th
proj. of 14
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Tulane is 1-1 and ranked 74th in overall efficiency. Their 31st-ranked defense carries them, with an 111th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 96th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 91st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+1 left
Q2
0-1
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+2 left
Q4
1-0
+5 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.7 wins
Strength of Record
86th
-0.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
46th
full season
71st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
71st
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ DukeACC#44L 317-11.00%-4.5Q2
2vs South AlabamaSun Belt#90W 2824+6.0100%-4.2Q4
3@ Kansas StateBig 12#11Preview-23.48%Q1
4vs Southern MissSun Belt#86Preview+4.861%Q4
6@ ArmyAmerican Athletic#56Preview-9.629%Q2
7vs MemphisAmerican Athletic#69Preview+2.556%Q4
8vs UTSAAmerican Athletic#42Preview-5.837%Q3
9@ CharlotteAmerican Athletic#137Preview+20.288%Q4
10vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#80Preview+3.759%Q4
11@ RiceAmerican Athletic#118Preview+8.669%Q4
12vs North TexasAmerican Athletic#52Preview-4.939%Q3
13@ South FloridaAmerican Athletic#43Preview-11.226%Q2

2 played · 1-1. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Tulane, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-4.1-2.0+0.1-4-4Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 96th
SR 114thYPP 80thEPA 88th
RushingEff 91st
SR 125thYPP 61stEPA 72nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 44th
SR 52ndYPP 67thEPA 30th
Rush defenseEff 91st
SR 70thYPP 99thEPA 92nd
Dropback rate 51%Tempo +0.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 106th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 40%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 26%2nd · Defense allowed: 27%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 31%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 0.0Q1 · Allowed: 17.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 14.0Q2 · Allowed: 3.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 7.0Q3 · Allowed: 7.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 10.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledTulaneOffenseDefense
Tulane Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 111th
-6.4
Field position: -1.7Finishing drives: -4.7
Field position -1.7Finishing drives -4.7= -6.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 120th · Finishing 101st

Defensive EffRanked 31st
+4.9
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: +4.5
Field position +0.5Finishing drives +4.5= +4.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 51st · Finishing 33rd

1.41 points per drive on offense, 1.78 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 26.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(26)50% / 50%42%7.3
Q2(25)44% / 56%36%7.4
Q3(21)48% / 52%29%7.9
Q4(31)61% / 39%26%3.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(14)9.657%7.6
2nd(16)10.425%6.9
3rd(20)9.135%6.5
4th(3)18.30%6.3
All (53)36%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(26)10.131%3.2
2nd(18)8.028%8.2
3rd(6)8.333%9.0
4th(0)
All (50)30%5.7

Tulane, all games.