ULM
University of Louisiana at Monroe · 2025 · Sun Belt
ULM went 3-9 and was ranked 128th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 120th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 123rd-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 122nd-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 106th-ranked passing attack.
Quadrant record
By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.
Projected wins
Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.
The resume
Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).
| Wk | Opponent | Conf | Opp rank | Result | Exp. margin | Win prob | GameScore | Quad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Saint Francis | NEC | — | W 29–0 | +29.1 | 100% | -19.2 | Q4 |
| 2 | @ Alabama | SEC | #10 | L 0–73 | -41.1 | 0% | -36.0 | Q1 |
| 4 | @ UTEP | Conference USA | #132 | W 31–25 | -4.6 | 100% | -6.3 | Q4 |
| 5 | vs Arkansas State | Sun Belt | #90 | W 28–16 | -7.1 | 100% | 3.2 | Q4 |
| 6 | @ Northwestern | Big Ten | #49 | L 7–42 | -27.8 | 0% | -28.1 | Q2 |
| 7 | @ Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | #99 | L 8–23 | -10.2 | 0% | -25.1 | Q4 |
| 8 | vs Troy | Sun Belt | #80 | L 14–37 | -9.4 | 0% | -37.2 | Q4 |
| 9 | @ Southern Miss | Sun Belt | #95 | L 21–49 | -13.0 | 0% | -33.8 | Q4 |
| 10 | vs Old Dominion | Sun Belt | #37 | L 6–31 | -27.0 | 0% | -24.6 | Q2 |
| 12 | vs South Alabama | Sun Belt | #114 | L 14–26 | -6.7 | 0% | -27.0 | Q4 |
| 13 | @ Texas State | Sun Belt | #79 | L 14–31 | -23.7 | 0% | -14.2 | Q3 |
| 14 | @ Louisiana | Sun Belt | #100 | L 27–30 | -11.7 | 0% | -7.9 | Q4 |
12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.
The season
The model’s read on ULM, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.
Passing & rushing
Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.
Their offense vs. what their defense allows.
Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.
What kind of team is this?
Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.
Field position 135th · Finishing 104th
Field position 133rd · Finishing 117th
1.16 points per drive on offense, 2.69 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.
Play-calling & efficiency
What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.
| Quarter (att.) | Pass / rush | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1(161) | 42% / 58% | 39% | 6.4 |
| Q2(179) | 49% / 51% | 30% | 5.1 |
| Q3(166) | 45% / 55% | 37% | 4.5 |
| Q4(211) | 43% / 57% | 44% | 6.0 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(124) | 10.3 | 39% | 6.0 |
| 2nd(84) | 9.7 | 44% | 7.4 |
| 3rd(92) | 8.7 | 33% | 4.6 |
| 4th(19) | 7.4 | 42% | 6.7 |
| All (319) | — | 39% | 6.0 |
| Down (att.) | Avg. to go | Success | Yd/play |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st(191) | 10.0 | 38% | 5.3 |
| 2nd(141) | 8.2 | 38% | 4.9 |
| 3rd(57) | 8.3 | 35% | 5.9 |
| 4th(9) | 2.6 | 22% | 0.7 |
| All (398) | — | 37% | 5.1 |
ULM, all games.