FanBoardHQ

UTSA

University of Texas at San Antonio · 2022 · Conference USA

FanBoardHQ CFP
#33
Efficiency
+3.8
56th FBS
Record
11-3
Conf. record
9-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 11
UTSA Fanboard →

UTSA went 11-3 and was ranked 33rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 36th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 73rd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 16th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 69th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
3-2
Q4
8-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
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11
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Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
28th
-0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
92nd
full season
92nd
CFP committee
#25
FanBoardHQ has them 8 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
129th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs HoustonAmerican Athletic#55L 3537+3.30%-0.5Q3
2@ ArmyFBS Independents#84W 4138+6.8100%3.3Q3
3@ TexasBig 12#17L 2041-19.00%4.2Q1
4vs Texas SouthernSWACW 5224+33.2100%-9.5Q4
5@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#77W 4530+9.0100%8.9Q4
6vs Western KentuckyConference USA#61W 3128+2.7100%4.3Q3
7@ FIUConference USA#121W 3010+27.9100%-0.3Q4
8vs North TexasConference USA#80W 3127+10.2100%-3.7Q4
10@ UABConference USA#74W 4438+1.3100%1.3Q3
11vs Louisiana TechConference USA#119W 517+21.9100%23.4Q4
12@ RiceConference USA#109W 417+15.6100%23.7Q4
13vs UTEPConference USA#107W 3431+19.6100%-11.6Q4
14vs North TexasConference USA#80W 4827+10.2100%12.8Q4
Postseason
vs TroySun Belt#28L 1218+1.70%-2.7Q3

14 played · 11-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UTSA, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-8.8+6.1+20.9-034-994-0-412324-1213Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 16th
SR 8thYPP 19thEPA 20th
RushingEff 69th
SR 93rdYPP 69thEPA 63rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 80th
SR 69thYPP 93rdEPA 77th
Rush defenseEff 55th
SR 16thYPP 75thEPA 80th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo +5.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 79th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 36%1st2nd · Offense: 50%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 49%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 90.0Q1 · Allowed: 55.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 149.0Q2 · Allowed: 94.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 116.0Q3 · Allowed: 59.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 107.0Q4 · Allowed: 103.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUTSAOffenseDefense
UTSA Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 36th
+4.7
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: +6.0
Field position -1.3Finishing drives +6.0= +4.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 111th · Finishing 30th

Defensive EffRanked 73rd
-0.2
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -0.5
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -0.5= -0.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 62nd · Finishing 70th

2.74 points per drive on offense, 1.93 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(252)52% / 48%48%5.7
Q2(261)55% / 45%51%7.2
Q3(244)56% / 44%50%7.3
Q4(244)43% / 57%43%5.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)10.052%8.3
2nd(176)7.859%8.0
3rd(111)7.241%6.6
4th(15)3.933%2.9
All (513)51%7.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(248)9.940%5.1
2nd(157)7.341%5.5
3rd(72)5.758%5.8
4th(11)1.082%2.9
All (488)44%5.3

UTSA, all games.