Sun Belt

2022 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

Sun Belt was the 8th-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Troy led the conference, ranked 28th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Troy	63	21	14	12-2	8-1	8.0
South Alabama	69	40	12	10-3	7-1	7.0
Coastal Carolina	98	51	13	9-4	6-3	6.0
James Madison	52	48	11	8-3	6-2	6.0
Marshall	68	55	2	9-4	5-3	5.0
Louisiana	77	90	9	6-7	4-4	4.0
Southern Miss	92	80	10	7-6	4-4	4.0
Appalachian State	72	84	5	6-6	3-5	3.0
Georgia Southern	93	92	4	6-7	3-5	3.0
Georgia State	88	110	6	4-8	3-5	3.0
ULM	118	108	8	4-8	3-5	3.0
Old Dominion	106	121	3	3-9	2-6	2.0
Texas State	107	111	1	4-8	2-6	2.0
Arkansas State	110	119	7	3-9	1-7	1.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Troy	South Alabama	Coastal Carolina	James Madison	Marshall	Louisiana	Southern Miss	Appalachian State	Georgia Southern	Georgia State	ULM	Old Dominion	Texas State	Arkansas State
Troy		L 6-10	L 26-45	·	L 7-16	L 17-23	L 10-27	W 32-28	·	·	L 16-34	·	L 14-17	L 19-48
South Alabama	W 10-6		·	·	·	L 17-20	L 20-27	·	L 31-38	·	L 34-41	L 20-27	L 21-38	L 3-31
Coastal Carolina	W 45-26	·		W 47-7	L 13-24	·	L 23-26	L 28-35	L 30-34	L 24-41	L 21-28	W 49-21	·	·
James Madison	·	·	L 7-47		W 26-12	·	·	L 28-32	W 45-38	L 40-42	·	L 3-37	L 13-40	L 20-42
Marshall	W 16-7	·	W 24-13	L 12-26		W 23-13	·	L 21-28	L 10-23	L 23-28	·	L 0-12	·	·
Louisiana	W 23-17	W 20-17	·	·	L 13-23		W 39-24	·	L 17-36	·	W 21-17	·	L 13-41	L 18-38
Southern Miss	W 27-10	W 27-20	W 26-23	·	·	L 24-39		·	·	W 42-14	L 10-20	·	L 14-20	L 19-20
Appalachian State	L 28-32	·	W 35-28	W 32-28	W 28-21	·	·		W 51-48	L 17-42	·	L 14-27	W 36-24	·
Georgia Southern	·	W 38-31	W 34-30	L 38-45	W 23-10	W 36-17	·	L 48-51		W 41-33	·	L 23-28	·	·
Georgia State	·	·	W 41-24	W 42-40	W 28-23	·	L 14-42	W 42-17	L 33-41		W 31-28	L 17-31	·	·
ULM	W 34-16	W 41-34	W 28-21	·	·	L 17-21	W 20-10	·	·	L 28-31		·	L 30-31	W 45-28
Old Dominion	·	W 27-20	L 21-49	W 37-3	W 12-0	·	·	W 27-14	W 28-23	W 31-17	·		·	L 26-29
Texas State	W 17-14	W 38-21	·	W 40-13	·	W 41-13	W 20-14	L 24-36	·	·	W 31-30	·		L 13-16
Arkansas State	W 48-19	W 31-3	·	W 42-20	·	W 38-18	W 20-19	·	·	·	L 28-45	W 29-26	W 16-13
Exp. wins for a #25 team	7.6	6.9	7.2	6.9	6.4	6.7	6.7	6.5	6.4	6.5	6.6	6.4	6.3	6.5
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	14th	12th	13th	11th	2nd	9th	10th	5th	4th	6th	8th	3rd	1st	7th
Projected conf. wins	8.0	7.0	6.0	6.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	1.0
Conference record	8-1	7-1	6-3	6-2	5-3	4-4	4-4	3-5	3-5	3-5	3-5	2-6	2-6	1-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
Troy	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
South Alabama	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	—
Coastal Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
James Madison	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Marshall	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Louisiana	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Southern Miss	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Appalachian State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia Southern	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
ULM	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Old Dominion	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Texas State	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Arkansas State	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Troy	78	121	98	8	59	20	63
South Alabama	35	106	78	46	67	50	69
Coastal Carolina	9	41	54	134	114	122	98
James Madison	37	64	64	20	2	42	52
Marshall	118	63	124	7	12	11	68
Louisiana	105	77	91	56	97	66	77
Southern Miss	80	116	111	52	38	58	92
Appalachian State	52	54	53	84	69	99	72
Georgia Southern	43	60	58	96	127	124	93
Georgia State	65	89	81	53	57	89	88
ULM	109	75	90	106	98	123	118
Old Dominion	98	123	119	124	90	87	106
Texas State	123	102	123	57	71	77	107
Arkansas State	74	135	92	122	117	120	110

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

TroySouth Alabama

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Troy	0-1	1-0	3-1	8-0	12-2
South Alabama	0-1	0-0	1-1	9-1	10-3
Coastal Carolina	0-0	0-1	2-2	7-1	9-4
James Madison	0-1	0-0	1-0	7-2	8-3
Marshall	1-0	1-0	0-1	7-3	9-4
Louisiana	0-1	0-0	1-1	5-5	6-7
Southern Miss	1-0	0-0	0-2	6-4	7-6
Appalachian State	0-0	1-0	0-3	5-3	6-6
Georgia Southern	0-0	0-0	2-3	4-4	6-7
Georgia State	0-0	0-2	1-3	3-3	4-8
ULM	0-2	0-0	1-3	3-3	4-8
Old Dominion	0-0	0-1	0-5	3-3	3-9
Texas State	0-0	0-2	0-2	4-4	4-8
Arkansas State	0-1	0-0	0-3	3-5	3-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14
Troy	-15.6	-18.6	-4.7	5.6	13.5	5.5	-12.2	6.6		5.8	-7.4	14.0	13.4	15.0
South Alabama	-8.1	3.3	10.9	14.0	1.7		-11.0	-5.0	13.9	3.2	-3.4	2.3	-5.3
Coastal Carolina	5.1	-12.7	2.0	11.8	-4.6	-5.6	-44.9		13.0	3.9	-6.4		-28.6	-21.5
James Madison	22.9	3.6		3.4	10.7	8.9	-11.8	-13.3		-10.6	23.2	-8.4	24.9
Marshall	-3.7	20.4	-15.2	-3.9	1.4		-16.0	17.7	-22.1	1.5	5.1	8.0	-3.6
Louisiana	-0.3	12.2	-26.5	-16.4	-6.2		11.6	8.4	-18.0	-7.6	7.8	-22.2	13.1
Southern Miss	-8.4	-25.1	1.8	19.3		-10.7	-14.8	-4.9	6.7	-35.7	-9.5	-10.1	-2.5
Appalachian State	1.9	10.2	4.3	-1.1	12.9	-36.3		13.5	-16.9	-15.0	-8.2	9.7	-6.1
Georgia Southern	-4.6	3.8	-11.9	-5.6	-11.4	-12.8	9.4	-4.2		-11.1	-19.1	-15.8	-3.9
Georgia State	-12.0	-5.7	-26.5	-26.6	15.4	-0.8		-22.3	-0.5	22.2	-22.0	7.1	-3.1
ULM	-18.1	-15.3	-13.9	-3.1	-25.2	-18.5	-5.1	-26.1		-13.5	0.3	-27.4	-20.3
Old Dominion	-7.8	-12.1	-4.7	-15.5	-20.0		24.2	-15.3	-17.8	-14.1	-30.3	-24.3	-7.4
Texas State	-39.6	-4.1	-18.4	-13.1	-18.7	20.8	1.4	-15.3		-14.9	-10.1	-13.1	-30.0
Arkansas State	8.9	-7.4	-8.4	-10.1	-3.9	-17.6	-6.1	-25.9	-28.0		-26.3	-13.4	-24.9