American Athletic

2022 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

American Athletic was the 6th-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 1 team in the top 25. Tulane led the conference, ranked 19th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Tulane	20	16	11	12-2	8-1	8.0
Cincinnati	51	35	9	9-4	6-2	6.0
UCF	48	42	10	9-5	6-3	6.0
Houston	59	50	8	8-5	5-3	5.0
SMU	62	65	4	7-6	5-3	5.0
East Carolina	60	59	6	8-5	4-4	4.0
Navy	73	106	3	4-8	4-4	4.0
Memphis	61	72	2	7-6	3-5	3.0
Tulsa	83	94	5	5-7	3-5	3.0
Temple	104	118	7	3-9	1-7	1.0
South Florida	119	130	1	1-11	0-8	0.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Tulane	Cincinnati	UCF	Houston	SMU	East Carolina	Navy	Memphis	Tulsa	Temple	South Florida
Tulane		L 24-27	W 38-31	L 24-27	L 24-59	L 9-24	·	L 28-38	L 13-27	·	L 31-45
Cincinnati	W 27-24		W 25-21	·	L 27-29	L 25-27	L 10-20	·	L 21-31	L 3-23	L 24-28
UCF	L 31-38	L 21-25		·	L 19-41	W 34-13	W 17-14	L 28-35	·	L 13-70	L 39-46
Houston	W 27-24	·	·		W 77-63	L 3-42	L 20-38	L 32-33	W 37-30	L 36-43	L 27-42
SMU	W 59-24	W 29-27	W 41-19	L 63-77		·	L 34-40	L 31-34	L 34-45	·	L 23-41
East Carolina	W 24-9	W 27-25	L 13-34	W 42-3	·		W 23-20	L 45-47	·	L 46-49	L 28-48
Navy	·	W 20-10	L 14-17	W 38-20	W 40-34	L 20-23		W 37-13	L 21-53	L 20-27	·
Memphis	W 38-28	·	W 35-28	W 33-32	W 34-31	W 47-45	L 13-37		L 10-26	L 3-24	·
Tulsa	W 27-13	W 31-21	·	L 30-37	W 45-34	·	W 53-21	W 26-10		L 16-27	L 42-48
Temple	·	W 23-3	W 70-13	W 43-36	·	W 49-46	W 27-20	W 24-3	W 27-16		L 28-54
South Florida	W 45-31	W 28-24	W 46-39	W 42-27	W 41-23	W 48-28	·	·	W 48-42	W 54-28
Exp. wins for a #25 team	6.5	5.9	6.2	5.9	5.7	5.8	5.6	5.6	5.8	5.8	5.5
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	11th	9th	10th	8th	4th	6th	3rd	2nd	5th	7th	1st
Projected conf. wins	8.0	6.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	1.0	0.0
Conference record	8-1	6-2	6-3	5-3	5-3	4-4	4-4	3-5	3-5	1-7	0-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
Tulane	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
Cincinnati	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
UCF	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Houston	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
SMU	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
East Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Navy	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Memphis	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Tulsa	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Temple	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
South Florida	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Tulane	32	28	25	29	45	30	20
Cincinnati	87	112	76	15	44	27	51
UCF	60	26	35	88	52	65	48
Houston	24	49	28	71	86	84	59
SMU	26	59	26	45	128	91	62
East Carolina	36	65	43	105	36	70	60
Navy	115	105	103	123	26	45	73
Memphis	63	110	61	55	40	47	61
Tulsa	72	62	71	93	82	93	83
Temple	86	137	102	91	112	92	104
South Florida	82	40	69	125	138	130	119

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

TulaneCincinnati

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Tulane	2-0	2-0	3-1	5-1	12-2
Cincinnati	0-2	0-2	3-0	6-0	9-4
UCF	1-1	0-3	3-0	5-1	9-5
Houston	0-2	2-1	2-1	4-1	8-5
SMU	0-2	0-2	3-2	4-0	7-6
East Carolina	0-1	0-1	2-2	6-1	8-5
Navy	0-1	2-2	0-2	2-3	4-8
Memphis	0-2	0-1	1-3	6-0	7-6
Tulsa	0-2	1-0	0-3	4-2	5-7
Temple	0-0	0-3	0-4	3-2	3-9
South Florida	0-2	0-3	0-3	1-3	1-11

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14	Week 15
Tulane	6.4	10.1	28.4	-14.6	7.7	15.7	2.5	22.5		13.9	-4.5	32.1	10.7	16.7
Cincinnati	4.9	12.0	3.6	17.5	7.9	-12.5		7.6	2.6	6.1	2.4	10.6	6.2
UCF	-3.2	2.4	19.4	10.3		20.3	20.4	-18.4	7.8	12.4	21.9	-10.1	-2.6	0.7
Houston	7.6	12.3	-15.9	-9.1	7.6	5.7		21.2	1.0	-12.1	-7.9	36.2	-13.1
SMU	28.7	-18.6	1.4	8.2		-12.4	2.3	-0.2	10.9	17.8	8.5	-18.4	5.1
East Carolina	1.9	3.1	17.2	-5.5	12.6	-0.6	1.6	26.9	4.5		5.6	-39.7	-6.3
Navy	-16.9	-21.3		5.9	4.8	21.2	-2.6	-20.7	-12.6	-3.9	7.1	12.8			-6.8
Memphis	-22.9	21.3	-2.4	7.5	6.2	0.3	4.3	-8.3		-4.2	5.4	13.5	0.2
Tulsa	-10.4	-15.4	25.7	4.2	-7.7	-28.7		0.7	-13.2	-6.7	-7.4	-12.2	11.7
Temple	-22.9	-23.6	-14.1	-2.3	-14.2		-25.7	-16.2	-0.9	7.9	0.4	-16.5	-1.4
South Florida	-49.0	-6.4	4.9	-22.5	-25.0	1.9	-6.0		-13.3	-34.2	-21.5	-8.1	-7.5