FanBoardHQ

Utah

University of Utah · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#66
Efficiency
+7.5
42nd FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 16
Utah Fanboard →

Utah went 5-7 and was ranked 66th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 5th-ranked defense carried them, with a 93rd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with an 113th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with an 86th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-2
Q3
1-1
Q4
2-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
83rd
-2.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
51st
full season
51st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
66th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Southern UtahUACW 490+30.8100%24.1Q4
2vs BaylorBig 12#33W 2312-2.5100%21.3Q2
3@ Utah StateMountain West#110W 3821+16.0100%6.5Q4
4@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 2219+6.6100%5.3Q3
5vs ArizonaBig 12#98L 1023+17.10%-22.6Q4
7@ Arizona StateBig 12#8L 1927-12.90%11.7Q1
8vs TCUBig 12#30L 713-0.10%2.0Q2
9@ HoustonBig 12#90L 1417+6.90%-1.6Q3
11vs BYUBig 12#7L 2122-6.40%13.8Q1
12@ ColoradoBig 12#26L 2449-7.50%-5.3Q1
13vs Iowa StateBig 12#13L 2831-2.60%7.3Q2
14@ UCFBig 12#86W 2814-0.9100%25.4Q2

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-18.8+1.4+21.5242175-23122-214-5725Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 86th
SR 106thYPP 81stEPA 83rd
RushingEff 113th
SR 92ndYPP 97thEPA 115th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 4th
SR 2ndYPP 7thEPA 7th
Rush defenseEff 35th
SR 17thYPP 59thEPA 37th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo +0.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 63rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 33%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 32%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 49.0Q1 · Allowed: 37.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 91.0Q2 · Allowed: 65.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 48.0Q3 · Allowed: 50.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 58.0Q4 · Allowed: 83.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtahOffenseDefense
Utah Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 93rd
-3.5
Field position: +1.8Finishing drives: -5.3
Field position +1.8Finishing drives -5.3= -3.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 17th · Finishing 106th

Defensive EffRanked 5th
+10.5
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: +9.2
Field position +1.2Finishing drives +9.2= +10.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 25th · Finishing 6th

1.62 points per drive on offense, 1.45 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(161)48% / 52%40%5.7
Q2(211)58% / 42%40%5.7
Q3(188)49% / 51%34%5.1
Q4(184)45% / 55%36%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(149)9.943%6.9
2nd(105)9.033%6.2
3rd(108)7.931%5.4
4th(14)5.136%4.0
All (376)36%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(168)9.942%5.1
2nd(135)7.733%4.3
3rd(59)4.841%4.9
4th(6)1.867%2.5
All (368)39%4.7

Utah, all games.