FanBoardHQ

BYU

Brigham Young University · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#7
Efficiency
+16.6
12th FBS
Record
11-2
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 16
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BYU went 11-2 and was ranked 7th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 12th-ranked defense carried them, with a 20th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 26th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 44th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-1
Q2
4-1
Q3
0-0
Q4
5-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
7th
+2.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
43rd
full season
43rd
CFP committee
#17
FanBoardHQ has them 10 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
74th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.2 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Southern IllinoisMVFCW 4113+41.1100%5.5Q4
2@ SMUACC#14W 1815-2.9100%21.8Q1
3@ WyomingMountain West#118W 3414+26.2100%10.5Q4
4vs Kansas StateBig 12#24W 389+6.2100%36.0Q2
5@ BaylorBig 12#33W 3428+1.1100%21.2Q1
7vs ArizonaBig 12#98W 4119+26.2100%14.5Q4
8vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 3835+21.2100%-1.3Q4
9@ UCFBig 12#86W 3724+8.2100%28.2Q2
11@ UtahBig 12#66W 2221+6.4100%10.3Q2
12vs KansasBig 12#48L 1317+7.00%5.1Q2
13@ Arizona StateBig 12#8L 2328-3.70%15.6Q1
14vs HoustonBig 12#90W 3018+21.6100%7.0Q4
Postseason
vs ColoradoBig 12#26W 3614+4.3100%34.7Q2

13 played · 11-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on BYU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+1.7+17.3+33.062211362115-128105167Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 44th
SR 34thYPP 27thEPA 59th
RushingEff 26th
SR 18thYPP 40thEPA 25th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 15th
SR 21stYPP 15thEPA 25th
Rush defenseEff 59th
SR 72ndYPP 41stEPA 57th
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 58th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 43%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 44%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 76.0Q1 · Allowed: 45.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 101.0Q2 · Allowed: 98.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 108.0Q3 · Allowed: 37.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 74.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBYUOffenseDefense
BYU Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 20th
+8.3
Field position: +2.9Finishing drives: +5.4
Field position +2.9Finishing drives +5.4= +8.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 6th · Finishing 28th

Defensive EffRanked 12th
+9.1
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +7.6
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +7.6= +9.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 18th · Finishing 19th

2.54 points per drive on offense, 1.76 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(220)53% / 47%49%6.1
Q2(208)57% / 43%49%7.2
Q3(191)43% / 57%45%6.9
Q4(204)37% / 63%40%5.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(185)10.345%7.9
2nd(115)8.549%7.7
3rd(82)8.434%6.6
4th(11)4.555%4.2
All (393)44%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(200)9.745%4.9
2nd(152)7.547%5.6
3rd(65)6.642%4.8
4th(13)2.692%8.5
All (430)47%5.3

BYU, all games.