FanBoardHQ

Big 12

2024 · through CFP Finals

Big 12 was the 3rd-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 4 teams in the top 25. BYU led the conference, ranked 7th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Arizona State1081311-38-28.0
BYU1271211-28-28.0
Colorado2924169-47-37.0
Iowa State2591411-37-37.0
Baylor2636108-56-46.0
Kansas State2326159-46-46.0
TCU3533119-46-36.0
Texas Tech464168-56-36.0
West Virginia687176-75-45.0
Kansas286315-74-54.0
Cincinnati537945-73-63.0
Houston759234-83-63.0
Utah428395-73-73.0
Arizona9110184-82-82.0
UCF4710054-82-72.0
Oklahoma State7311123-90-90.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Arizona StateBYUColoradoIowa StateBaylorKansas StateTCUTexas TechWest VirginiaKansasCincinnatiHoustonUtahArizonaUCFOklahoma State
Arizona StateL 23-28·L 19-45·L 14-24·W 30-22·L 31-35W 24-14·L 19-27L 7-49L 31-35L 21-42
BYUW 28-23L 14-36·L 28-34L 9-38···W 17-13·L 18-30L 21-22L 19-41L 24-37L 35-38
Colorado·W 36-14·L 31-38W 31-28·L 27-41·W 37-21L 23-34·L 24-49L 7-34L 21-48L 0-52
Iowa StateW 45-19··L 21-43L 21-29·W 23-22L 16-28W 45-36L 17-34L 0-20L 28-31·L 35-38·
Baylor·W 34-28W 38-31W 43-21·L 34-37L 35-59L 35-49L 17-45·L 10-20W 23-12··L 28-38
Kansas StateW 24-14W 38-9L 28-31W 29-21···L 18-45L 27-29L 15-41W 24-19·L 7-31·L 20-42
TCU····W 37-34·L 34-35·L 27-38L 13-20W 30-19L 7-13L 28-49W 35-34L 13-38
Texas TechL 22-30·W 41-27L 22-23W 59-35·W 35-34L 15-52·L 41-44··L 22-28·L 48-56
West Virginia···W 28-16W 49-35W 45-18·W 52-15L 28-32L 24-31··L 26-31L 21-31L 14-38
KansasW 35-31L 13-17L 21-37L 36-45W 45-17W 29-27W 38-27·W 32-28·L 14-42····
CincinnatiL 14-24·W 34-23W 34-17·W 41-15W 20-13W 44-41W 31-24·L 0-34··L 13-19·
Houston·W 30-18·W 20-0W 20-10L 19-24L 19-30··W 42-14W 34-0L 14-17W 27-3··
UtahW 27-19W 22-21W 49-24W 31-28L 12-23·W 13-7····W 17-14W 23-10L 14-28L 19-22
ArizonaW 49-7W 41-19W 34-7··W 31-7W 49-28W 28-22W 31-26··L 3-27L 10-23W 56-12·
UCFW 35-31W 37-24W 48-21W 38-35··L 34-35·W 31-21·W 19-13·W 28-14L 12-56·
Oklahoma StateW 42-21W 38-35W 52-0·W 38-28W 42-20W 38-13W 56-48W 38-14···W 22-19··
Exp. wins for a #25 team6.26.26.46.36.16.36.25.75.84.75.35.26.05.95.44.8
Conf. sched. difficulty rank13th12th16th14th10th15th11th6th7th1st4th3rd9th8th5th2nd
Projected conf. wins8.08.07.07.06.06.06.06.05.04.03.03.03.02.02.00.0
Conference record8-28-27-37-36-46-46-36-35-44-53-63-63-72-82-70-9

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins10 wins
Arizona State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
BYU0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Colorado0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Iowa State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Baylor0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kansas State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
TCU0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Texas Tech0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
West Virginia0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Kansas0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Cincinnati0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Houston0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Utah0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Arizona0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UCF0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Oklahoma State100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Arizona State1624632162510
BYU44262015591212
Colorado56953127323229
Iowa State42632917852425
Baylor29471964413826
Kansas State33223237252123
TCU22712233744735
Texas Tech40323477736446
West Virginia7443271302911068
Kansas771162625328
Cincinnati48414755605153
Houston10210411365213175
Utah8611393435542
Arizona781007094939991
UCF5843384237347
Oklahoma State5189409211510773

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Arizona StateBYU

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Arizona State3-12-23-03-011-3
BYU2-14-10-05-011-2
Colorado0-13-32-04-09-4
Iowa State2-13-14-12-011-3
Baylor0-43-12-03-08-5
Kansas State1-33-02-13-09-4
TCU0-23-03-13-19-4
Texas Tech2-00-42-14-08-5
West Virginia0-12-52-12-06-7
Kansas2-31-31-11-05-7
Cincinnati1-31-21-12-15-7
Houston0-12-61-01-14-8
Utah0-32-21-12-15-7
Arizona0-31-30-13-14-8
UCF0-41-10-33-04-8
Oklahoma State0-50-11-22-13-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Arizona State26.25.812.82.313.813.5-2.323.94.630.318.732.036.5
BYU5.521.810.536.021.214.5-1.328.210.35.115.67.0
Colorado10.6-17.616.312.132.55.526.713.322.025.2-4.130.8
Iowa State3.716.424.722.333.521.54.82.0-2.617.813.117.6-14.6
Baylor25.0-0.913.413.08.3-8.730.46.711.319.010.135.3
Kansas State16.721.120.8-15.716.319.931.212.2-4.30.531.08.4
TCU4.010.62.0-12.024.0-16.115.95.612.027.512.313.2
Texas Tech-15.2-17.930.321.810.20.8-11.111.317.4-3.29.031.0
West Virginia-7.7-3.9-0.413.130.0-9.3-20.70.415.5-6.913.8-33.2
Kansas20.43.86.6-1.4-1.116.324.813.427.924.028.8-14.4
Cincinnati0.20.87.929.51.015.224.73.7-11.6-0.1-18.92.0
Houston-18.39.112.5-32.2-11.524.4-14.67.015.3-25.90.67.5
Utah24.121.36.55.3-22.611.72.0-1.613.8-5.37.325.4
Arizona6.4-6.3-14.523.4-1.2-4.7-21.2-8.0-31.817.0-8.7-32.2
UCF11.223.414.2-14.54.7-4.713.8-8.129.718.7-8.8-12.1
Oklahoma State33.110.115.50.4-5.0-38.916.14.3-8.1-27.6-4.3-20.3