FanBoardHQ

Colorado

University of Colorado Boulder · 2024 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#26
Efficiency
+12.3
29th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 16
Colorado Fanboard →

Colorado went 9-4 and was ranked 26th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 31st-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 32nd-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 64% of offensive plays with a 56th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 36% of plays with a 95th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
3-3
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
24th
+0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
36th
full season
36th
CFP committee
#23
FanBoardHQ has them 3 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
80th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs North Dakota StateMVFCW 3126+4.8100%10.6Q4
2@ NebraskaBig Ten#43L 1028-0.10%-17.6Q2
3@ Colorado StateMountain West#74W 289+18.3100%16.3Q4
4vs BaylorBig 12#33W 3831+2.2100%12.1Q2
5@ UCFBig 12#86W 4821+3.8100%32.5Q2
7vs Kansas StateBig 12#24L 2831+1.90%5.5Q2
8@ ArizonaBig 12#98W 347+16.3100%26.7Q4
9vs CincinnatiBig 12#70W 3423+10.3100%13.3Q3
11@ Texas TechBig 12#40W 4127+3.1100%22.0Q2
12vs UtahBig 12#66W 4924+7.5100%25.2Q3
13vs KansasBig 12#48L 2137-0.10%-4.1Q2
14vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#101W 520+16.9100%30.8Q4
Postseason
vs BYUBig 12#7L 1436-4.30%-13.6Q1

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Colorado, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.6+7.4+28.511-18161232627132225-431Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 56th
SR 51stYPP 70thEPA 56th
RushingEff 95th
SR 64thYPP 115thEPA 94th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 27th
SR 39thYPP 34thEPA 21st
Rush defenseEff 32nd
SR 21stYPP 21stEPA 49th
Dropback rate 64%Tempo -3.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 61st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 38%1st2nd · Offense: 46%2nd · Defense allowed: 38%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 98.0Q1 · Allowed: 87.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 95.0Q2 · Allowed: 81.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 114.0Q3 · Allowed: 45.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 93.0Q4 · Allowed: 69.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledColoradoOffenseDefense
Colorado Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 31st
+5.6
Field position: +1.1Finishing drives: +4.5
Field position +1.1Finishing drives +4.5= +5.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 28th · Finishing 32nd

Defensive EffRanked 32nd
+5.2
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +4.9
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +4.9= +5.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 48th · Finishing 34th

2.49 points per drive on offense, 1.73 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(178)61% / 39%46%5.7
Q2(247)71% / 29%43%6.0
Q3(180)61% / 39%51%7.5
Q4(198)60% / 40%41%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(214)9.953%6.8
2nd(169)9.445%7.5
3rd(117)8.637%8.0
4th(13)6.538%8.4
All (513)46%7.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)9.936%3.9
2nd(94)7.349%5.2
3rd(37)3.554%3.8
4th(8)2.863%2.5
All (290)43%4.3

Colorado, all games.