FanBoardHQ

Washington

University of Washington · 2026 · Big Ten

Efficiency
+8.6
33rd FBS
Record
2-0
Conf. record
Conf. finish
12th
proj. of 18
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Washington is 2-0 and ranked 33rd in overall efficiency. Their 12th-ranked defense carries them, with a 62nd-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 64th-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 71st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
+5 left
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
+1 left
Q4
2-0
+2 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
16th
+0.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
83rd
full season
20th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
19th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Washington StatePac-12#63W 2410+10.5100%11.8Q4
2vs Utah StatePac-12#92W 1614+17.3100%-6.2Q4
3vs Eastern WashingtonBig SkyPreview+37.999%Q4
4vs MinnesotaBig Ten#76Preview+14.280%Q4
5@ USCBig Ten#8Preview-16.217%Q1
6vs IowaBig Ten#28Preview+0.651%Q2
7@ PurdueBig Ten#65Preview+6.064%Q3
9@ NebraskaBig Ten#29Preview-4.939%Q1
10vs Penn StateBig Ten#16Preview-5.438%Q1
11@ Michigan StateBig Ten#54Preview+0.852%Q2
12vs IndianaBig Ten#5Preview-11.625%Q1
13@ OregonBig Ten#24Preview-7.134%Q1

2 played · 2-0. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Washington, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-4.4+5.3+15.012-6Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 64th
SR 59thYPP 61stEPA 72nd
RushingEff 71st
SR 49thYPP 88thEPA 73rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 31st
SR 48thYPP 56thEPA 24th
Rush defenseEff 33rd
SR 29thYPP 52ndEPA 33rd
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +4.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 59th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 54%1st · Defense allowed: 36%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 30%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 31%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 31%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 3.0Q1 · Allowed: 0.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 17.0Q2 · Allowed: 7.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 0.0Q3 · Allowed: 0.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 20.0Q4 · Allowed: 17.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWashingtonOffenseDefense
Washington Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 62nd
+1.2
Field position: -0.0Finishing drives: +1.2
Field position -0.0Finishing drives +1.2= +1.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 66th · Finishing 58th

Defensive EffRanked 12th
+7.9
Field position: +0.9Finishing drives: +7.0
Field position +0.9Finishing drives +7.0= +7.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 38th · Finishing 15th

1.67 points per drive on offense, 1.04 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(30)63% / 37%30%4.3
Q2(47)53% / 47%55%5.9
Q3(32)63% / 38%31%5.1
Q4(27)52% / 48%52%7.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(33)9.958%8.2
2nd(25)7.644%6.2
3rd(18)9.322%4.0
4th(2)1.50%0.0
All (78)44%6.4
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(28)9.150%5.1
2nd(18)6.828%2.5
3rd(11)5.555%6.5
4th(1)1.00%0.0
All (58)43%4.5

Washington, all games.