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Mountain West

2023 · through CFP Finals

Mountain West Fanboard →

Mountain West was the 6th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Wyoming led the conference, ranked 42nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Boise State4358118-67-27.0
San José State596747-66-26.0
UNLV5648129-56-36.0
Air Force514729-45-35.0
Wyoming623539-45-35.0
Fresno State684969-44-44.0
Utah State1048886-74-44.0
Colorado State1039755-73-53.0
Hawai'i11910295-83-53.0
Nevada128131102-102-62.0
New Mexico11410814-82-62.0
San Diego State10710774-82-62.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

Boise StateSan José StateUNLVAir ForceWyomingFresno StateUtah StateColorado StateHawai'iNevadaNew MexicoSan Diego State
Boise StateL 27-35L 20-44L 19-27L 7-32W 37-30L 10-45W 31-30··L 14-42L 31-34
San José StateW 35-27L 31-37W 45-20·L 18-42L 21-42·L 0-35·L 24-52L 13-24
UNLVW 44-20W 37-31L 27-31L 14-34W 31-24·L 23-25L 20-44L 27-45L 14-56·
Air ForceW 27-19L 20-45W 31-27L 27-34·L 21-39L 13-30W 27-13··L 10-49
WyomingW 32-7·W 34-14W 34-27L 19-24·L 15-24L 9-42L 6-42L 26-35·
Fresno StateL 30-37W 42-18L 24-31·W 24-19L 32-37··L 9-27W 25-17W 33-18
Utah StateW 45-10W 42-21·W 39-21·W 37-32L 24-44·L 24-41L 41-44L 24-32
Colorado StateL 30-31·W 25-23W 30-13W 24-15·W 44-24W 27-24L 20-30·L 19-22
Hawai'i·W 35-0W 44-20L 13-27W 42-9··L 24-27L 14-27W 42-21W 41-34
Nevada··W 45-27·W 42-6W 27-9W 41-24W 30-20W 27-14L 24-34L 0-6
New MexicoW 42-14W 52-24W 56-14·W 35-26L 17-25W 44-41·L 21-42W 34-24·
San Diego StateW 34-31W 24-13·W 49-10·L 18-33W 32-24W 22-19L 34-41W 6-0·
Exp. wins for a #25 team7.26.47.36.46.46.46.46.46.56.86.36.4
Conf. sched. difficulty rank11th4th12th2nd3rd6th8th5th9th10th1st7th
Projected conf. wins7.06.06.05.05.04.04.03.03.02.02.02.0
Conference record7-26-26-35-35-34-44-43-53-52-62-62-6

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Boise State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
San José State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
UNLV0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Air Force0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Wyoming0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Fresno State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Utah State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Colorado State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Hawai'i0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Nevada0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
New Mexico0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
San Diego State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Boise State3572979585243
San José State44284536818659
UNLV416133132278856
Air Force132384189516551
Wyoming55448176384962
Fresno State61986393417868
Utah State86318688131122104
Colorado State72136113968290103
Hawai'i111120108130113125119
Nevada134128132114128120128
New Mexico433749137122132114
San Diego State96961159813597107

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
Boise StateSan José State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Boise State0-11-32-15-18-6
San José State0-21-20-26-07-6
UNLV0-21-00-38-09-5
Air Force0-02-10-17-29-4
Wyoming0-11-32-06-09-4
Fresno State0-00-13-16-29-4
Utah State0-00-40-16-26-7
Colorado State0-00-21-34-25-7
Hawai'i0-10-11-24-45-8
Nevada0-20-00-32-52-10
New Mexico0-10-11-33-34-8
San Diego State0-10-30-14-34-8

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14
Boise State-2.83.96.4-4.61.96.5-5.523.8-3.412.122.49.727.2
San José State-22.210.9-2.2-23.92.115.98.720.327.40.89.5
UNLV8.5-5.5-12.13.03.513.4-7.4-5.328.216.810.8-5.4-18.0
Air Force7.6-3.414.129.524.64.31.313.3-27.1-30.1-4.51.0
Wyoming8.2-0.71.7-0.3-8.42.4-0.4-17.0-3.7-14.422.211.2
Fresno State4.2-17.226.09.81.6-3.80.66.28.8-29.3-26.4-24.2
Utah State-7.517.6-19.5-1.8-13.34.9-11.3-16.2-6.5-0.0-24.8-8.8
Colorado State-25.61.23.2-6.0-23.43.10.5-18.7-5.5-11.4-14.0-14.5
Hawai'i-10.3-27.81.2-12.4-6.3-16.7-19.3-40.5-34.1-7.018.4-37.7-10.3
Nevada-20.7-29.93.5-22.7-23.5-31.4-1.3-13.3-29.1-29.7-15.6-31.6
New Mexico-30.13.9-18.7-17.1-5.9-28.510.5-21.5-41.4-19.710.5-14.8
San Diego State1.2-22.8-17.5-0.41.2-31.0-6.5-29.3-13.0-8.1-9.212.5