FanBoardHQ

Wyoming

University of Wyoming · 2023 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#42
Efficiency
+0.0
62nd FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 12
Wyoming Fanboard →

Wyoming went 9-4 and was ranked 42nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 49th-ranked defense carried them, with an 81st-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 55% of offensive plays with a 45th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 45% of plays with a 55th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
1-3
Q3
2-0
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
35th
-0.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
70th
full season
70th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
82nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Texas TechBig 12#33W 3533-8.0100%8.2Q2
2vs Portland StateBig SkyW 3117+19.9100%-0.7Q4
3@ TexasBig 12#3L 1031-26.10%1.7Q1
4vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#52W 2219-0.0100%-0.3Q3
5vs New MexicoMountain West#115W 3526+17.2100%-8.4Q4
6vs Fresno StateMountain West#57W 2419+4.2100%2.4Q4
7@ Air ForceMountain West#45L 2734-6.60%-0.4Q2
9@ Boise StateMountain West#49L 732-9.60%-17.0Q2
10vs Colorado StateMountain West#97W 2415+12.0100%-3.7Q4
11@ UNLVMountain West#50L 1434-5.10%-14.4Q2
12vs Hawai'iMountain West#109W 429+18.4100%22.2Q4
13@ NevadaMountain West#131W 426+17.7100%11.2Q4
Postseason
vs ToledoMid-American#43W 1615-0.8100%-0.5Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Wyoming, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-13.8+2.6+19.08-12-0-82-0-17-4-142211Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 55th
SR 40thYPP 63rdEPA 57th
RushingEff 45th
SR 52ndYPP 30thEPA 44th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 76th
SR 95thYPP 54thEPA 73rd
Rush defenseEff 39th
SR 44thYPP 57thEPA 35th
Dropback rate 45%Tempo -5.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 76th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 86.0Q1 · Allowed: 68.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 100.0Q2 · Allowed: 73.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 65.0Q3 · Allowed: 47.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 61.0Q4 · Allowed: 88.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledWyomingOffenseDefense
Wyoming Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 81st
-2.3
Field position: -0.3Finishing drives: -2.1
Field position -0.3Finishing drives -2.1= -2.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 75th · Finishing 81st

Defensive EffRanked 49th
+1.7
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: +1.1
Field position +0.7Finishing drives +1.1= +1.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 41st · Finishing 55th

2.05 points per drive on offense, 1.87 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(188)46% / 54%49%7.0
Q2(205)47% / 53%45%5.7
Q3(173)42% / 58%42%5.6
Q4(189)37% / 63%36%4.8
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(132)10.150%7.6
2nd(88)8.239%5.7
3rd(102)7.435%5.0
4th(4)3.350%4.5
All (326)42%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(211)9.941%5.5
2nd(167)7.446%5.3
3rd(45)6.547%5.2
4th(6)1.767%4.0
All (429)44%5.4

Wyoming, all games.