FanBoardHQ

San José State

San José State University · 2023 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#67
Efficiency
+1.8
59th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 12
San José State Fanboard →

San José State went 7-6 and was ranked 67th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 45th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 86th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 44th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 28th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
1-2
Q3
0-2
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
67th
-2.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
73rd
full season
73rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
83rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ USCPac-12#22L 2856-14.30%-15.3Q1
1vs Oregon StatePac-12#20L 1742-11.30%-22.2Q1
2vs Cal PolyBig SkyW 593+43.1100%10.9Q4
3@ ToledoMid-American#43L 1721-1.80%-2.2Q2
4vs Air ForceMountain West#45L 2045+0.70%-23.9Q3
6@ Boise StateMountain West#49L 2735-7.80%2.1Q2
7@ New MexicoMountain West#115W 5224+13.4100%15.9Q4
8vs Utah StateMountain West#94W 4221+13.8100%8.7Q4
9@ Hawai'iMountain West#109W 350+14.6100%20.3Q4
11vs Fresno StateMountain West#57W 4218+6.0100%27.4Q4
12vs San Diego StateMountain West#108W 2413+14.8100%0.8Q4
13@ UNLVMountain West#50W 3731-3.4100%9.5Q2
Postseason
vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#63L 1424+2.10%-11.2Q3

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on San José State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-19.8+1.7+23.3-2211-2-2421692027110Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 44th
SR 38thYPP 51stEPA 35th
RushingEff 28th
SR 63rdYPP 11thEPA 29th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 36th
SR 36thYPP 25thEPA 45th
Rush defenseEff 82nd
SR 72ndYPP 60thEPA 92nd
Dropback rate 51%Tempo -8.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 73rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 50%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 97.0Q1 · Allowed: 44.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 116.0Q2 · Allowed: 107.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 90.0Q3 · Allowed: 56.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 91.0Q4 · Allowed: 111.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSan José StateOffenseDefense
San José State Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 45th
+2.5
Field position: +2.5Finishing drives: +0.0
Field position +2.5Finishing drives +0.0= +2.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 9th · Finishing 62nd

Defensive EffRanked 86th
-2.3
Field position: +0.1Finishing drives: -2.4
Field position +0.1Finishing drives -2.4= -2.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 60th · Finishing 88th

2.69 points per drive on offense, 2.30 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)50% / 50%50%7.0
Q2(190)47% / 53%45%6.5
Q3(181)54% / 46%45%6.6
Q4(203)49% / 51%39%6.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)10.344%7.2
2nd(129)9.145%6.0
3rd(100)8.642%7.5
4th(10)6.440%7.8
All (390)44%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(210)9.642%5.7
2nd(126)7.451%7.0
3rd(47)5.757%7.9
4th(9)3.033%1.7
All (392)47%6.3

San José State, all games.