FanBoardHQ

UNLV

University of Nevada, Las Vegas · 2023 · Mountain West

FanBoardHQ CFP
#50
Efficiency
+2.4
56th FBS
Record
9-5
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 12
UNLV Fanboard →

UNLV went 9-5 and was ranked 50th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 33rd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 88th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 61st-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with a 41st-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
1-0
Q3
0-3
Q4
8-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

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Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
48th
-1.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
78th
full season
78th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
125th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs BryantBig South-OVCW 4414+22.3100%8.5Q4
2@ MichiganBig Ten#2L 735-29.60%-5.5Q1
3vs VanderbiltSEC#120W 4037+16.5100%-12.1Q4
4@ UTEPConference USA#121W 4528+14.6100%3.0Q4
5vs Hawai'iMountain West#109W 4420+20.7100%3.5Q4
7@ NevadaMountain West#131W 4527+20.1100%13.4Q4
8vs Colorado StateMountain West#97W 2523+14.4100%-7.4Q4
9@ Fresno StateMountain West#57L 2431+1.10%-5.3Q3
10@ New MexicoMountain West#115W 5614+14.0100%28.2Q4
11vs WyomingMountain West#42W 3414+5.1100%16.8Q4
12@ Air ForceMountain West#45W 3127-4.2100%10.8Q2
13vs San José StateMountain West#67L 3137+3.40%-5.4Q3
14vs Boise StateMountain West#49L 2044-1.70%-18.0Q3
Postseason
vs KansasBig 12#18L 3649-11.40%1.6Q1

14 played · 9-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UNLV, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-14.3+5.1+24.58-6-123413-7-5281711-5-18Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 41st
SR 34thYPP 42ndEPA 45th
RushingEff 61st
SR 103rdYPP 75thEPA 37th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 132nd
SR 96thYPP 135thEPA 134th
Rush defenseEff 27th
SR 49thYPP 27thEPA 27th
Dropback rate 46%Tempo +5.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 80th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 51%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 41%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 122.0Q1 · Allowed: 76.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 111.0Q2 · Allowed: 126.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 109.0Q3 · Allowed: 89.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 121.0Q4 · Allowed: 103.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUNLVOffenseDefense
UNLV Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 33rd
+4.9
Field position: +2.4Finishing drives: +2.6
Field position +2.4Finishing drives +2.6= +4.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 11th · Finishing 45th

Defensive EffRanked 88th
-2.4
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: -3.5
Field position +1.2Finishing drives -3.5= -2.4
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 27th · Finishing 100th

2.59 points per drive on offense, 2.21 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 34.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(199)45% / 55%48%7.0
Q2(236)50% / 50%39%5.9
Q3(230)46% / 54%42%6.9
Q4(262)42% / 58%46%5.9
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(154)10.549%7.9
2nd(127)8.944%8.5
3rd(132)8.245%6.8
4th(11)5.545%7.9
All (424)46%7.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(249)9.739%5.5
2nd(172)7.434%4.5
3rd(73)4.163%6.5
4th(9)2.256%2.3
All (503)41%5.3

UNLV, all games.

UNLV Football 2023 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ