FanBoardHQ

Arizona

University of Arizona · 2025 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#27
Efficiency
+13.8
22nd FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
6-3
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 16
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Arizona went 9-4 and was ranked 27th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 24th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 30th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 54th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 36th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
3-3
Q3
2-0
Q4
4-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
28th
+0.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
54th
full season
54th
CFP committee
#17
FanBoardHQ has them 10 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
80th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Hawai'iMountain West#63W 406+21.1100%23.6Q4
2vs Weber StateBig SkyW 483+40.3100%19.1Q4
3vs Kansas StateBig 12#45W 2317+5.4100%14.9Q2
5@ Iowa StateBig 12#32L 1439+1.00%-20.4Q2
6vs Oklahoma StateBig 12#131W 4113+28.2100%10.3Q4
7vs BYUBig 12#6L 2733-1.20%12.6Q1
8@ HoustonBig 12#28L 2831+4.10%8.8Q2
10@ ColoradoBig 12#101W 5217+14.1100%32.1Q3
11vs KansasBig 12#71W 2420+11.8100%5.9Q3
12@ CincinnatiBig 12#54W 3024+7.0100%12.9Q2
13vs BaylorBig 12#73W 4117+14.7100%26.3Q4
14@ Arizona StateBig 12#38W 237+5.2100%24.2Q2
Postseason
vs SMUACC#31L 1924+1.80%6.0Q2

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Arizona, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-16.2+5.8+27.9241915-2010139326132624Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 54th
SR 48thYPP 50thEPA 57th
RushingEff 36th
SR 62ndYPP 31stEPA 34th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 31st
SR 16thYPP 30thEPA 33rd
Rush defenseEff 58th
SR 87thYPP 39thEPA 63rd
Dropback rate 53%Tempo -1.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 57th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 38%1st2nd · Offense: 44%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 39%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 104.0Q1 · Allowed: 86.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 84.0Q2 · Allowed: 71.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 89.0Q3 · Allowed: 48.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 105.0Q4 · Allowed: 53.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledArizonaOffenseDefense
Arizona Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 24th
+6.9
Field position: +2.1Finishing drives: +4.8
Field position +2.1Finishing drives +4.8= +6.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 15th · Finishing 36th

Defensive EffRanked 30th
+6.3
Field position: +1.9Finishing drives: +4.4
Field position +1.9Finishing drives +4.4= +6.3
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 13th · Finishing 35th

2.30 points per drive on offense, 1.58 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 35.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)52% / 48%46%7.1
Q2(249)59% / 41%44%5.9
Q3(200)54% / 47%42%6.0
Q4(236)45% / 55%42%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(174)10.348%6.9
2nd(150)8.245%6.4
3rd(129)8.036%6.9
4th(18)3.450%5.5
All (471)44%6.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(220)9.938%5.3
2nd(140)7.443%5.5
3rd(48)5.552%4.3
4th(14)1.186%6.4
All (422)43%5.3

Arizona, all games.

Arizona Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ