FanBoardHQ

Colorado

University of Colorado Boulder · 2025 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#101
Efficiency
-3.0
78th FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
1-8
Conf. finish
15th
of 16
Colorado Fanboard →

Colorado went 3-9 and was ranked 101st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 72nd-ranked defense carried them, with a 73rd-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 50% of offensive plays with a 100th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 50% of plays with a 92nd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
1-3
Q3
0-3
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
113th
-4.4 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
27th
full season
27th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
24th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Georgia TechACC#36L 2027-7.50%-2.7Q3
2vs DelawareConference USA#98W 317+15.0100%9.0Q4
3@ HoustonBig 12#28L 2036-12.70%-6.3Q2
4vs WyomingMountain West#112W 3720+11.0100%5.6Q4
5vs BYUBig 12#6L 2124-18.00%11.7Q1
6@ TCUBig 12#25L 2135-16.10%-0.6Q2
7vs Iowa StateBig 12#32W 2417-10.3100%14.2Q2
9@ UtahBig 12#12L 753-30.90%-18.5Q1
10vs ArizonaBig 12#27L 1752-14.10%-26.1Q2
11@ West VirginiaBig 12#92L 2229+0.30%-9.2Q3
13vs Arizona StateBig 12#38L 1742-6.10%-16.7Q3
14@ Kansas StateBig 12#45L 1424-16.90%3.0Q1

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Colorado, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-22.9-6.0+10.9-39-6612-114-19-26-9-173Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 92nd
SR 97thYPP 106thEPA 78th
RushingEff 100th
SR 117thYPP 87thEPA 88th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 105th
SR 61stYPP 106thEPA 125th
Rush defenseEff 79th
SR 86thYPP 89thEPA 71st
Dropback rate 50%Tempo -2.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 47th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 32%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 38%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 42.0Q1 · Allowed: 57.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 86.0Q2 · Allowed: 125.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 62.0Q3 · Allowed: 75.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 61.0Q4 · Allowed: 97.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledColoradoOffenseDefense
Colorado Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 73rd
-1.0
Field position: -0.4Finishing drives: -0.6
Field position -0.4Finishing drives -0.6= -1.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 82nd · Finishing 70th

Defensive EffRanked 72nd
-0.9
Field position: +1.0Finishing drives: -1.9
Field position +1.0Finishing drives -1.9= -0.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 37th · Finishing 83rd

1.65 points per drive on offense, 2.34 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(181)46% / 54%39%4.4
Q2(221)56% / 44%33%5.4
Q3(163)44% / 56%37%6.5
Q4(210)55% / 45%33%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(128)10.038%5.1
2nd(138)8.841%6.6
3rd(120)8.628%5.7
4th(8)5.00%-4.4
All (394)36%5.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(186)10.128%4.2
2nd(125)7.935%4.4
3rd(55)5.558%6.3
4th(15)4.147%4.7
All (381)35%4.6

Colorado, all games.

Colorado Football 2025 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ