FanBoardHQ

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State University · 2025 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#131
Efficiency
-11.6
106th FBS
Record
1-11
Conf. record
0-9
Conf. finish
16th
of 16
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Oklahoma State went 1-11 and was ranked 131st in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 93rd-ranked defense carried them, with a 106th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with a 121st-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with an 118th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
0-3
Q3
0-3
Q4
1-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 1.0 wins
Strength of Record
133rd
-6.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
31st
full season
31st
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
44th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs UT MartinOVC-Big SouthW 277+17.5100%-9.0Q4
2@ OregonBig Ten#2L 369-40.00%-19.5Q1
4vs TulsaAmerican Athletic#109L 1219+0.70%-19.2Q4
5vs BaylorBig 12#73L 2745-10.70%-17.8Q4
6@ ArizonaBig 12#27L 1341-28.20%-8.1Q1
7vs HoustonBig 12#28L 1739-15.80%-20.4Q3
8vs CincinnatiBig 12#54L 1749-12.90%-21.0Q3
9@ Texas TechBig 12#8L 042-39.80%-0.6Q1
10@ KansasBig 12#71L 2138-19.10%-22.0Q2
12vs Kansas StateBig 12#45L 614-20.00%0.2Q2
13@ UCFBig 12#82L 1417-12.40%-3.0Q3
14vs Iowa StateBig 12#32L 1320-18.90%0.6Q2

12 played · 1-11. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Oklahoma State, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.2-10.7-1.2-9-19-19-18-8-20-21-1-220-31Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 121st
SR 118thYPP 107thEPA 122nd
RushingEff 118th
SR 124thYPP 113thEPA 118th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 96th
SR 78thYPP 91stEPA 106th
Rush defenseEff 89th
SR 73rdYPP 90thEPA 89th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -2.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 44th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 37%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 32%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 48%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 54.0Q1 · Allowed: 96.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 49.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 20.0Q3 · Allowed: 93.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 34.0Q4 · Allowed: 58.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOklahoma StateOffenseDefense
Oklahoma State Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 106th
-6.6
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: -5.3
Field position -1.4Finishing drives -5.3= -6.6
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 113th · Finishing 102nd

Defensive EffRanked 93rd
-3.6
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: -3.9
Field position +0.3Finishing drives -3.9= -3.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 57th · Finishing 101st

1.04 points per drive on offense, 2.56 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 26.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(211)52% / 48%38%5.4
Q2(210)50% / 50%36%4.5
Q3(159)51% / 49%31%4.3
Q4(184)52% / 48%35%4.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)10.338%5.1
2nd(108)9.034%4.4
3rd(112)8.332%6.0
4th(15)4.533%6.8
All (390)35%5.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(159)9.936%4.5
2nd(137)8.030%3.7
3rd(66)6.942%4.6
4th(12)2.550%2.3
All (374)35%4.1

Oklahoma State, all games.