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BYU

Brigham Young University · 2023 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#72
Efficiency
-1.6
69th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-7
Conf. finish
T-11th
of 14
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BYU went 5-7 and was ranked 72nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 64th-ranked defense carried them, with an 80th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 54% of offensive plays with an 112th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 46% of plays with an 87th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-4
Q2
1-3
Q3
1-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
68th
-2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
12th
full season
12th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
18th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Sam HoustonConference USA#118W 140+14.6100%-3.6Q4
2vs Southern UtahUACW 4116+16.4100%12.4Q4
3@ ArkansasSEC#85W 3831-4.2100%8.6Q3
4@ KansasBig 12#18L 2738-18.10%-0.1Q1
5vs CincinnatiBig 12#106W 3527+4.1100%2.1Q4
7@ TCUBig 12#61L 1144-12.30%-23.9Q2
8vs Texas TechBig 12#33W 2714-9.6100%20.2Q2
9@ TexasBig 12#3L 635-27.80%0.1Q1
10@ West VirginiaBig 12#25L 737-15.20%-23.6Q1
11vs Iowa StateBig 12#39L 1345-9.60%-28.4Q2
12vs OklahomaBig 12#11L 2431-18.90%7.9Q1
13@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#17L 3440-11.60%9.0Q2

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on BYU, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.5-4.1+16.3-4129-02-24200-24-2889Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 112th
SR 110thYPP 111thEPA 113th
RushingEff 87th
SR 102ndYPP 89thEPA 83rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 54th
SR 93rdYPP 49thEPA 43rd
Rush defenseEff 85th
SR 84thYPP 85thEPA 74th
Dropback rate 54%Tempo -4.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 51st on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 36%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 63.0Q1 · Allowed: 75.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 85.0Q2 · Allowed: 88.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 57.0Q3 · Allowed: 72.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 52.0Q4 · Allowed: 83.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBYUOffenseDefense
BYU Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 80th
-2.1
Field position: +0.7Finishing drives: -2.8
Field position +0.7Finishing drives -2.8= -2.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 40th · Finishing 87th

Defensive EffRanked 64th
+0.2
Field position: -1.4Finishing drives: +1.6
Field position -1.4Finishing drives +1.6= +0.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 114th · Finishing 52nd

1.78 points per drive on offense, 2.11 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(170)53% / 47%43%5.5
Q2(188)63% / 37%37%5.9
Q3(182)54% / 46%34%5.8
Q4(196)51% / 49%34%4.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(172)10.037%5.5
2nd(113)8.837%7.0
3rd(103)8.128%3.9
4th(19)5.153%9.9
All (407)36%5.7
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(144)10.040%4.8
2nd(127)8.035%4.8
3rd(50)7.640%5.4
4th(7)2.057%2.7
All (329)39%4.9

BYU, all games.

BYU Football 2023 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ