FanBoardHQ

Oklahoma

University of Oklahoma · 2023 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#11
Efficiency
+20.0
11th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 14
Oklahoma Fanboard →

Oklahoma went 10-3 and was ranked 11th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 5th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 39th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 3rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 31st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-2
Q2
5-1
Q3
2-0
Q4
2-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
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12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
11th
+2.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
19th
full season
19th
CFP committee
#12
FanBoardHQ has them 1 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
43rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Arkansas StateSun Belt#91W 730+32.2100%30.4Q4
2vs SMUAmerican Athletic#31W 2811+12.7100%23.1Q2
3@ TulsaAmerican Athletic#113W 6617+32.8100%26.5Q4
4@ CincinnatiBig 12#106W 206+20.3100%13.5Q3
5vs Iowa StateBig 12#39W 5020+12.1100%31.1Q2
6vs TexasBig 12#3W 3430-3.4100%24.9Q1
8vs UCFBig 12#56W 3129+15.3100%6.2Q2
9@ KansasBig 12#18L 3338+3.50%10.5Q1
10@ Oklahoma StateBig 12#17L 2427+10.00%7.3Q2
11vs West VirginiaBig 12#25W 5920+12.0100%37.3Q2
12@ BYUBig 12#72W 3124+18.9100%10.5Q3
13vs TCUBig 12#61W 6945+14.8100%29.8Q2
Postseason
vs ArizonaPac-12#15L 2438+1.60%5.3Q1

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Oklahoma, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+3.0+18.6+34.33023271331256107371130Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 3rd
SR 5thYPP 4thEPA 7th
RushingEff 31st
SR 26thYPP 39thEPA 41st
Defense
Pass defenseEff 25th
SR 30thYPP 33rdEPA 21st
Rush defenseEff 20th
SR 26thYPP 19thEPA 20th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo +6.6 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 54th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 40%1st2nd · Offense: 49%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 53%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 126.0Q1 · Allowed: 61.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 174.0Q2 · Allowed: 91.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 111.0Q3 · Allowed: 60.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 96.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledOklahomaOffenseDefense
Oklahoma Offense vs Defense, 2023
Offensive EffRanked 5th
+15.5
Field position: +1.4Finishing drives: +14.1
Field position +1.4Finishing drives +14.1= +15.5
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 21st · Finishing 5th

Defensive EffRanked 39th
+3.2
Field position: +0.8Finishing drives: +2.5
Field position +0.8Finishing drives +2.5= +3.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 36th · Finishing 48th

3.17 points per drive on offense, 1.71 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(221)55% / 45%52%7.6
Q2(278)48% / 52%53%7.7
Q3(220)53% / 47%55%7.5
Q4(211)38% / 62%39%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)10.056%9.8
2nd(133)8.351%8.6
3rd(105)8.148%8.5
4th(9)4.156%9.8
All (453)53%9.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(227)9.544%4.9
2nd(178)6.847%5.1
3rd(64)5.159%5.5
4th(8)4.575%9.9
All (477)48%5.1

Oklahoma, all games.