Big 12
2023 · through CFP Finals
Big 12 was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 6 teams in the top 25. Texas led the conference, ranked 3rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 5 | 4 | 13 | 12-2 | 9-1 | 9.0 |
| Oklahoma | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10-3 | 7-2 | 7.0 |
| Oklahoma State | 41 | 12 | 11 | 10-4 | 7-3 | 7.0 |
| Iowa State | 27 | 44 | 4 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Kansas State | 6 | 17 | 10 | 9-4 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| West Virginia | 25 | 25 | 14 | 9-4 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Kansas | 19 | 18 | 2 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Texas Tech | 26 | 36 | 8 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| TCU | 37 | 70 | 3 | 5-7 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| UCF | 39 | 63 | 7 | 6-7 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| Baylor | 97 | 111 | 5 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| BYU | 69 | 68 | 1 | 5-7 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Houston | 86 | 93 | 6 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Cincinnati | 74 | 118 | 12 | 3-9 | 1-8 | 1.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins | 10 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Oklahoma | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Oklahoma State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iowa State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Kansas State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| West Virginia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Kansas | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Texas Tech | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| TCU | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| UCF | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Baylor | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| BYU | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Houston | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Cincinnati | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Texas | 18 | 24 | 14 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Oklahoma | 3 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 39 | 11 |
| Oklahoma State | 56 | 53 | 59 | 95 | 35 | 24 | 41 |
| Iowa State | 17 | 110 | 26 | 38 | 46 | 33 | 27 |
| Kansas State | 27 | 8 | 7 | 35 | 72 | 25 | 6 |
| West Virginia | 59 | 15 | 21 | 65 | 62 | 34 | 25 |
| Kansas | 11 | 17 | 10 | 56 | 76 | 43 | 19 |
| Texas Tech | 107 | 14 | 47 | 24 | 34 | 14 | 26 |
| TCU | 33 | 49 | 35 | 45 | 71 | 48 | 37 |
| UCF | 48 | 23 | 37 | 21 | 109 | 44 | 39 |
| Baylor | 79 | 111 | 85 | 122 | 119 | 112 | 97 |
| BYU | 112 | 86 | 80 | 55 | 85 | 64 | 69 |
| Houston | 87 | 118 | 62 | 112 | 84 | 106 | 86 |
| Cincinnati | 97 | 22 | 64 | 105 | 106 | 96 | 74 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 4-2 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-2 |
| Oklahoma | 1-2 | 5-1 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 10-3 |
| Oklahoma State | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 10-4 |
| Iowa State | 1-3 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 2-0 | 7-6 |
| Kansas State | 2-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 9-4 |
| West Virginia | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 9-4 |
| Kansas | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| Texas Tech | 1-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 7-6 |
| TCU | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 5-7 |
| UCF | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 6-7 |
| Baylor | 0-2 | 1-5 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-9 |
| BYU | 0-4 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 3-0 | 5-7 |
| Houston | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-8 |
| Cincinnati | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-9 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 18.0 | 34.8 | 21.8 | 27.6 | 35.5 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 21.7 | 21.0 | 12.5 | 21.6 | 37.0 | 34.1 | |
| Oklahoma | 30.4 | 23.1 | 26.5 | 13.5 | 31.1 | 24.9 | 6.2 | 10.5 | 7.3 | 37.3 | 10.5 | 29.8 | ||
| Oklahoma State | 1.5 | 7.9 | -27.5 | 6.7 | 28.0 | 16.6 | 24.8 | 22.3 | 20.0 | -22.0 | 9.4 | -3.3 | -4.9 | |
| Iowa State | 17.6 | -7.1 | -3.6 | 11.3 | -0.3 | 20.9 | 20.7 | 5.4 | -1.0 | 32.1 | 12.5 | 33.6 | ||
| Kansas State | 24.8 | 29.7 | 19.3 | 20.2 | 1.6 | 30.1 | 35.6 | 30.0 | 24.8 | 26.4 | 18.5 | -1.8 | ||
| West Virginia | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 14.6 | 13.5 | -1.7 | -6.8 | 26.1 | 28.8 | -6.7 | 24.9 | 2.1 | ||
| Kansas | 15.4 | 9.6 | -10.1 | 12.3 | 0.3 | 33.1 | 4.5 | 23.4 | 25.5 | 5.1 | 17.6 | 24.3 | ||
| Texas Tech | 2.6 | 19.0 | 21.3 | 7.0 | 13.6 | 26.9 | 3.0 | -11.0 | 11.6 | 19.5 | 6.7 | -2.8 | ||
| TCU | -6.5 | -8.3 | 22.7 | 24.8 | 5.3 | -2.2 | 29.6 | -10.8 | 7.1 | 18.9 | 16.2 | -1.8 | ||
| UCF | 9.4 | 10.5 | 31.0 | 9.8 | -6.5 | -26.4 | 21.4 | -7.7 | 3.0 | 36.3 | 11.6 | 12.5 | ||
| Baylor | -16.9 | -2.2 | -9.4 | -12.6 | 5.6 | -24.9 | 0.3 | -3.2 | -8.6 | -13.3 | -16.6 | 0.3 | ||
| BYU | -3.6 | 12.4 | 8.6 | -0.1 | 2.1 | -23.9 | 20.2 | 0.1 | -23.6 | -28.4 | 7.9 | 9.0 | ||
| Houston | 0.5 | -6.0 | -19.6 | 14.6 | -7.7 | 7.6 | 12.4 | -20.5 | -4.7 | -18.0 | -6.9 | -9.8 | ||
| Cincinnati | 26.7 | 5.3 | -5.2 | 3.6 | -6.7 | -13.0 | -11.7 | -18.0 | 1.6 | 10.2 | -17.1 | -13.4 |