SEC
2023 · through CFP Finals
SEC was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 6 teams in the top 25. Alabama led the conference, ranked 4th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 9 | 3 | 13 | 12-2 | 9-0 | 9.0 |
| Georgia | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13-1 | 8-1 | 8.0 |
| LSU | 14 | 13 | 7 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 6.0 |
| Missouri | 13 | 6 | 12 | 11-2 | 6-2 | 6.0 |
| Ole Miss | 17 | 9 | 11 | 11-2 | 6-2 | 6.0 |
| Tennessee | 20 | 20 | 3 | 9-4 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Texas A&M | 18 | 50 | 10 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Auburn | 45 | 66 | 6 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Florida | 48 | 69 | 5 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Kentucky | 42 | 45 | 8 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| South Carolina | 46 | 73 | 9 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Arkansas | 63 | 94 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-7 | 1.0 |
| Mississippi State | 81 | 76 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-7 | 1.0 |
| Vanderbilt | 109 | 128 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-8 | 0.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Georgia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| LSU | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Missouri | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Ole Miss | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Tennessee | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Texas A&M | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Auburn | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Florida | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Kentucky | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| South Carolina | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Arkansas | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Mississippi State | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Vanderbilt | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Alabama | 29 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 29 | 6 | 9 |
| Georgia | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 63 | 18 | 3 |
| LSU | 1 | 1 | 2 | 104 | 97 | 110 | 14 |
| Missouri | 20 | 41 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| Ole Miss | 21 | 40 | 16 | 34 | 54 | 29 | 17 |
| Tennessee | 16 | 4 | 25 | 43 | 14 | 31 | 20 |
| Texas A&M | 39 | 66 | 24 | 37 | 7 | 23 | 18 |
| Auburn | 103 | 57 | 75 | 28 | 57 | 27 | 45 |
| Florida | 19 | 35 | 54 | 64 | 53 | 63 | 48 |
| Kentucky | 49 | 56 | 28 | 72 | 25 | 54 | 42 |
| South Carolina | 34 | 77 | 50 | 42 | 40 | 42 | 46 |
| Arkansas | 116 | 80 | 98 | 50 | 33 | 41 | 63 |
| Mississippi State | 120 | 105 | 106 | 51 | 43 | 60 | 81 |
| Vanderbilt | 121 | 127 | 93 | 90 | 98 | 116 | 109 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 5-2 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 12-2 |
| Georgia | 4-1 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 13-1 |
| LSU | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 10-3 |
| Missouri | 3-2 | 2-0 | 3-0 | 3-0 | 11-2 |
| Ole Miss | 3-2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 11-2 |
| Tennessee | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 9-4 |
| Texas A&M | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 7-6 |
| Auburn | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 4-1 | 6-7 |
| Florida | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 5-7 |
| Kentucky | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 7-6 |
| South Carolina | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 5-7 |
| Arkansas | 0-5 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 4-8 |
| Mississippi State | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 5-7 |
| Vanderbilt | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-10 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | 30.0 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 27.7 | 22.0 | 21.8 | 0.5 | 24.9 | 30.7 | 35.4 | 23.2 | 11.4 | 28.6 | ||
| Georgia | 17.3 | 25.0 | 13.9 | 16.0 | 15.5 | 35.2 | 7.7 | 30.4 | 26.0 | 38.5 | 38.7 | 15.9 | 18.7 | ||
| LSU | -6.9 | 11.7 | 29.5 | 0.9 | 10.2 | 33.1 | 32.4 | 31.3 | 7.8 | 19.3 | 29.5 | 1.2 | |||
| Missouri | 24.5 | -6.5 | 21.4 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 0.6 | 24.5 | 24.8 | 18.0 | 36.2 | 4.5 | 33.3 | |||
| Ole Miss | 17.0 | 21.2 | 20.4 | 9.4 | 21.7 | 3.9 | 15.6 | 18.2 | 19.8 | -4.5 | 9.1 | 8.5 | |||
| Tennessee | 27.4 | 3.4 | -7.8 | 30.0 | 16.1 | 19.7 | 10.6 | 16.3 | 26.9 | -5.0 | -8.6 | 15.4 | |||
| Texas A&M | 25.4 | -4.6 | 20.9 | 20.9 | 14.4 | 14.2 | 8.3 | 14.9 | 9.8 | 30.2 | 0.7 | 21.2 | |||
| Auburn | 19.9 | 11.0 | 10.5 | -1.0 | 15.6 | -11.5 | 5.3 | 10.6 | 9.9 | 34.3 | -32.1 | 16.0 | |||
| Florida | -6.5 | 9.0 | 25.6 | -5.4 | -12.1 | 13.3 | 7.2 | -0.8 | -4.3 | 1.4 | 17.9 | 3.4 | |||
| Kentucky | 8.3 | -8.4 | 4.1 | 10.9 | 23.3 | -5.4 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 26.8 | -9.6 | 4.8 | 22.5 | |||
| South Carolina | -6.5 | 10.1 | 16.6 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -1.4 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 20.5 | 7.3 | -0.6 | |||
| Arkansas | 19.2 | -5.8 | -10.3 | 15.6 | -0.3 | 11.2 | 21.1 | -11.1 | 8.2 | -30.6 | -2.5 | -16.6 | |||
| Mississippi State | 6.9 | 16.7 | -19.1 | -0.8 | -4.5 | -6.7 | 6.6 | -9.3 | -24.0 | -22.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | |||
| Vanderbilt | -16.6 | -12.2 | -11.0 | 3.2 | -15.1 | -0.6 | -20.5 | 6.5 | -14.3 | -15.6 | -26.9 | -13.0 |