FanBoardHQ

Utah

University of Utah · 2025 · Big 12

FanBoardHQ CFP
#12
Efficiency
+25.1
6th FBS
Record
11-2
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
T-3rd
of 16
Utah Fanboard →

Utah went 11-2 and was ranked 12th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 4th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 18th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 5th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with an 18th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-2
Q2
2-0
Q3
6-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 11.0 wins
Strength of Record
14th
+2.0 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
56th
full season
56th
CFP committee
#15
FanBoardHQ has them 3 spots higher
Conf. sched. difficulty
54th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.6 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ UCLABig Ten#97W 4310+26.7100%31.0Q3
2vs Cal PolyBig SkyW 639+41.9100%23.9Q4
3@ WyomingMountain West#112W 316+33.7100%17.7Q4
4vs Texas TechBig 12#8L 1034+2.50%6.6Q1
5@ West VirginiaBig 12#92W 4814+28.4100%30.4Q3
7vs Arizona StateBig 12#38W 4210+22.1100%33.0Q3
8@ BYUBig 12#6L 2124+4.60%18.5Q1
9vs ColoradoBig 12#101W 537+30.9100%32.1Q4
10vs CincinnatiBig 12#54W 4514+23.9100%31.3Q3
12@ BaylorBig 12#73W 5528+20.5100%31.6Q3
13vs Kansas StateBig 12#45W 5147+16.8100%10.8Q2
14@ KansasBig 12#71W 3121+17.6100%19.2Q2
Postseason
vs NebraskaBig Ten#52W 4422+22.1100%30.0Q3

13 played · 11-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Utah, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+2.6+16.5+30.431241873033193231321119Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 18th
SR 21stYPP 29thEPA 16th
RushingEff 5th
SR 16thYPP 12thEPA 3rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 6th
SR 5thYPP 22ndEPA 2nd
Rush defenseEff 88th
SR 60thYPP 98thEPA 88th
Dropback rate 44%Tempo -0.7 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 53rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 51%2nd · Defense allowed: 34%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 55%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 39%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 93.0Q1 · Allowed: 41.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 152.0Q2 · Allowed: 71.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 111.0Q3 · Allowed: 41.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 143.0Q4 · Allowed: 93.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUtahOffenseDefense
Utah Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 4th
+16.8
Field position: +1.6Finishing drives: +15.2
Field position +1.6Finishing drives +15.2= +16.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 25th · Finishing 2nd

Defensive EffRanked 18th
+7.7
Field position: +2.9Finishing drives: +4.7
Field position +2.9Finishing drives +4.7= +7.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 4th · Finishing 32nd

3.30 points per drive on offense, 1.59 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(216)40% / 60%47%6.5
Q2(290)49% / 51%52%6.7
Q3(224)42% / 58%47%6.4
Q4(201)33% / 67%53%7.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(138)10.244%6.3
2nd(146)8.350%7.8
3rd(92)7.642%7.8
4th(12)6.250%5.1
All (388)46%7.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(279)9.848%6.4
2nd(168)6.452%5.8
3rd(82)4.265%6.6
4th(14)2.479%7.9
All (543)52%6.3

Utah, all games.