FanBoardHQ

Marshall

Marshall University · 2025 · Sun Belt

FanBoardHQ CFP
#96
Efficiency
-6.2
88th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 14
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Marshall went 5-7 and was ranked 96th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 82nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 86th-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 109th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 53rd-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
1-1
Q3
0-0
Q4
4-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
99th
-4.9 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
100th
full season
100th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
87th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ GeorgiaSEC#5L 745-29.90%-9.8Q1
2vs Missouri StateConference USA#85L 2021+5.60%-20.2Q4
3vs Eastern KentuckyUACW 387+22.7100%8.1Q4
4@ Middle TennesseeConference USA#129W 4228+11.2100%-3.2Q4
5@ LouisianaSun Belt#100L 5154+3.40%-9.3Q4
7vs Old DominionSun Belt#37W 4824-11.9100%24.0Q2
8vs Texas StateSun Belt#79W 4037-3.1100%2.1Q4
10@ Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#99L 2744+5.00%-24.5Q4
11vs James MadisonSun Belt#22L 2335-13.10%-5.8Q2
12@ Georgia StateSun Belt#134W 3018+10.7100%-2.7Q4
13@ Appalachian StateSun Belt#110L 2426+5.70%-14.2Q4
14vs Georgia SouthernSun Belt#87L 1924+8.30%-19.3Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Marshall, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-20.6-0.3+20.1-10-208-3-9242-25-6-3-14-19Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 53rd
SR 45thYPP 60thEPA 50th
RushingEff 109th
SR 104thYPP 93rdEPA 119th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 125th
SR 120thYPP 133rdEPA 108th
Rush defenseEff 48th
SR 31stYPP 86thEPA 48th
Dropback rate 42%Tempo +8.4 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 93rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 41%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 36%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 68.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 112.0Q2 · Allowed: 88.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 67.0Q3 · Allowed: 89.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 96.0Q4 · Allowed: 100.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMarshallOffenseDefense
Marshall Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 82nd
-2.7
Field position: +0.5Finishing drives: -3.2
Field position +0.5Finishing drives -3.2= -2.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 43rd · Finishing 89th

Defensive EffRanked 86th
-2.7
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: -3.1
Field position +0.4Finishing drives -3.1= -2.7
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 54th · Finishing 95th

2.09 points per drive on offense, 2.08 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 33.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(227)38% / 62%42%5.3
Q2(200)47% / 53%45%6.4
Q3(188)36% / 64%43%6.4
Q4(227)44% / 56%47%6.0
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(124)10.356%9.4
2nd(120)8.450%7.2
3rd(99)7.533%6.1
4th(4)8.525%1.3
All (348)47%7.6
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(258)9.847%5.8
2nd(162)6.636%4.0
3rd(63)5.540%3.8
4th(11)3.536%3.1
All (494)42%4.9

Marshall, all games.