FanBoardHQ

Hawai'i

University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa · 2026 · Mountain West

Efficiency
-13.2
116th FBS
Record
1-2
Conf. record
0-1
Conf. finish
7th
proj. of 10
Hawai'i Fanboard →

Hawai'i is 1-2 and ranked 116th in overall efficiency. Their 90th-ranked defense carries them, with a 124th-ranked offense. They pass the ball on 66% of offensive plays with a 121st-ranked passing attack and run the ball on the remaining 34% of plays with a 123rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-0
+2 left
Q3
0-0
Q4
1-2
+7 left

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
125th
-1.8 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
114th
full season
129th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
110th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
0@ StanfordACC#108L 2737-5.90%-16.8Q4
1vs UNLVMountain West#104L 621-1.10%-26.7Q4
2vs New Mexico StateConference USA#120W 2919+4.2100%-9.0Q4
4@ WyomingMountain West#132Preview+3.358%Q4
5vs San José StateMountain West#124Preview+4.861%Q4
6@ Arizona StateBig 12#47Preview-21.810%Q2
7vs New MexicoMountain West#61Preview-13.022%Q4
8@ Northern IllinoisMountain West#129Preview+2.055%Q4
10@ UTEPMountain West#136Preview+6.765%Q4
11vs North Dakota StateMountain West#40Preview-17.116%Q2
12@ NevadaMountain West#114Preview-4.639%Q4
13vs Sacramento StateMid-American#135Preview+11.575%Q4

3 played · 1-2. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Hawai'i, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-24.5-13.3-2.1-17-27-9Week 0Week 2
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 121st
SR 121stYPP 129thEPA 110th
RushingEff 123rd
SR 119thYPP 134thEPA 117th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 85th
SR 90thYPP 127thEPA 57th
Rush defenseEff 136th
SR 138thYPP 124thEPA 136th
Dropback rate 66%Tempo +12.8 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 84th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 33%1st · Defense allowed: 54%1st2nd · Offense: 40%2nd · Defense allowed: 31%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 10.0Q1 · Allowed: 14.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 20.0Q2 · Allowed: 28.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 6.0Q3 · Allowed: 7.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 28.0Q4 · Allowed: 14.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledHawai'iOffenseDefense
Hawai'i Offense vs Defense, 2026
Offensive EffRanked 124th
-9.2
Field position: -1.8Finishing drives: -7.4
Field position -1.8Finishing drives -7.4= -9.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 121st · Finishing 123rd

Defensive EffRanked 90th
-3.0
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: -2.3
Field position -0.7Finishing drives -2.3= -3.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 100th · Finishing 88th

1.68 points per drive on offense, 1.49 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(44)61% / 39%32%5.1
Q2(54)80% / 20%35%4.2
Q3(59)68% / 32%39%3.9
Q4(65)62% / 38%43%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(52)9.933%4.1
2nd(51)8.239%6.0
3rd(45)8.036%4.6
4th(2)3.0100%5.5
All (150)37%4.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(36)10.233%3.6
2nd(26)8.742%4.7
3rd(7)2.757%2.7
4th(3)1.067%4.7
All (72)40%3.9

Hawai'i, all games.