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American Athletic

2023 · through CFP Finals

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American Athletic was the 9th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. SMU led the conference, ranked 31st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
SMU29331411-39-09.0
Tulane58311311-38-18.0
UTSA6152129-47-17.0
Memphis50321010-36-26.0
Navy1139685-74-44.0
Rice928746-74-44.0
South Florida1017897-64-44.0
Florida Atlantic106114114-83-53.0
North Texas10810115-73-53.0
UAB11210974-83-53.0
Charlotte12512333-92-62.0
Tulsa11810564-82-62.0
East Carolina11013022-101-71.0
Temple13012653-91-71.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

SMUTulaneUTSAMemphisNavyRiceSouth FloridaFlorida AtlanticNorth TexasUABCharlotteTulsaEast CarolinaTemple
SMUL 14-26·L 34-38L 14-59L 31-36··L 21-45·L 16-34L 10-69L 10-31L 0-55
TulaneW 26-14L 16-29L 21-31·L 28-30·L 8-24L 28-35L 23-35·L 22-24L 10-13·
UTSA·W 29-16··L 14-34L 21-49L 10-36L 29-37L 20-41··L 27-41L 34-49
MemphisW 38-34W 31-21·L 24-28·L 50-59·L 42-45L 21-45L 38-44··L 21-45
NavyW 59-14··W 28-24·W 44-30·L 24-27L 6-31L 0-14·L 0-10W 32-18
RiceW 36-31W 30-28W 34-14··W 42-29L 21-24··L 7-28L 10-42L 17-24·
South Florida··W 49-21W 59-50L 30-44L 29-42W 56-14·W 56-35L 14-48··L 23-27
Florida Atlantic·W 24-8W 36-10··W 24-21L 14-56·W 45-42L 16-38L 17-20W 22-7·
North TexasW 45-21W 35-28W 37-29W 45-42W 27-24···L 42-45·L 28-35·L 14-45
UAB·W 35-23W 41-20W 45-21W 31-6·L 35-56L 42-45W 45-42···L 24-34
CharlotteW 34-16··W 44-38W 14-0W 28-7W 48-14W 38-16··L 26-33L 7-10·
TulsaW 69-10W 24-22···W 42-10·W 20-17W 35-28·W 33-26L 27-29L 26-48
East CarolinaW 31-10W 13-10W 41-27·W 10-0W 24-17·L 7-22··W 10-7W 29-27·
TempleW 55-0·W 49-34W 45-21L 18-32·W 27-23·W 45-14W 34-24·W 48-26·
Exp. wins for a #25 team7.77.47.06.96.76.66.97.06.46.76.66.66.66.6
Conf. sched. difficulty rank14th13th12th10th8th4th9th11th1st7th3rd6th2nd5th
Projected conf. wins9.08.07.06.04.04.04.03.03.03.02.02.01.01.0
Conference record9-08-17-16-24-44-44-43-53-53-52-62-61-71-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
SMU0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Tulane0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
UTSA0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%—
Memphis0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
Navy0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Rice0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
South Florida0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Florida Atlantic0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
North Texas0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
UAB0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Charlotte0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Tulsa0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
East Carolina0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Temple0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
SMU15933614373629
Tulane251177861303058
UTSA64907141505761
Memphis3081196810410050
Navy1301261271212867113
Rice766882741279892
South Florida851008812955107101
Florida Atlantic114871101207884106
North Texas744346107138129108
UAB71297449137128112
Charlotte12811613063102105125
Tulsa63124107127120108118
East Carolina126129125812466110
Temple108135120133115126130

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
SMUTulane

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
SMU0-12-10-09-111-3
Tulane0-11-21-09-011-3
UTSA0-10-10-19-19-4
Memphis1-10-11-18-010-3
Navy0-20-10-15-35-7
Rice0-10-10-36-26-7
South Florida0-10-10-27-27-6
Florida Atlantic0-10-00-24-54-8
North Texas0-10-10-25-35-7
UAB0-10-10-24-44-8
Charlotte0-20-10-13-53-9
Tulsa0-30-10-04-44-8
East Carolina0-10-20-22-52-10
Temple0-00-30-13-53-9

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 0Week 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
SMU17.57.115.2-6.71.19.818.527.40.811.012.920.016.7
Tulane18.9-3.86.611.7-4.117.2-2.8-2.0-6.1-18.416.811.8-4.5
UTSA-5.02.1-25.0-17.2-2.93.913.82.20.618.415.3-9.4
Memphis-4.428.5-13.311.58.8-11.315.9-3.5-0.7-12.71.07.3
Navy-30.5-21.33.0-25.8-10.0-2.5-11.6-34.65.9-5.4-24.1-13.0
Rice-1.5-5.74.7-23.0-6.2-27.113.8-2.72.4-25.010.6-9.2
South Florida-16.8-7.55.17.42.9-38.0-47.9-11.0-4.3-20.8-23.84.1
Florida Atlantic6.2-12.4-29.4-6.3-15.329.3-23.26.9-13.6-27.3-24.4-7.3
North Texas-26.2-22.2-12.8-3.2-15.01.6-6.0-3.5-11.2-11.8-6.4-14.1
UAB-2.7-19.2-35.5-4.1-7.515.5-17.3-25.7-9.9-33.7-13.7-10.5
Charlotte-16.8-7.0-26.0-8.9-9.4-30.0-5.2-35.0-13.3-1.8-35.8-31.3
Tulsa-23.5-11.2-22.01.90.8-9.9-36.1-42.9-20.54.9-20.0-7.4
East Carolina-7.9-28.1-13.410.1-12.1-11.1-24.6-13.4-3.26.1-20.2-19.5
Temple-22.8-18.3-8.2-30.8-37.5-18.0-33.7-29.7-0.8-9.3-21.2-24.7