ACC

2023 · through CFP Finals

ConferenceSeasonThrough

ACC was the 4th-ranked FBS conference in 2023 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 3 teams in the top 25. Florida State led the conference, ranked 9th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

Team	Efficiency rank	SOR rank	Conf. sched. rank	Overall record	Conf. record	Proj. conf. wins
Florida State	16	7	14	13-1	9-0	9.0
Louisville	22	21	13	10-4	7-2	7.0
NC State	31	22	5	9-4	6-2	6.0
Georgia Tech	57	51	11	7-6	5-3	5.0
Virginia Tech	44	64	12	7-6	5-3	5.0
Clemson	23	23	6	9-4	4-4	4.0
Duke	24	34	4	8-5	4-4	4.0
North Carolina	38	42	10	8-5	4-4	4.0
Boston College	88	62	9	7-6	3-5	3.0
Miami-FL	40	57	1	7-6	3-5	3.0
Pittsburgh	78	116	7	3-9	2-6	2.0
Syracuse	87	80	8	6-7	2-6	2.0
Virginia	80	113	2	3-9	2-6	2.0
Wake Forest	84	99	3	4-8	1-7	1.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

	Florida State	Louisville	NC State	Georgia Tech	Virginia Tech	Clemson	Duke	North Carolina	Boston College	Miami-FL	Pittsburgh	Syracuse	Virginia	Wake Forest
Florida State		L 6-16	·	·	L 17-39	L 24-31	L 20-38	·	L 29-31	L 20-27	L 7-24	L 3-41	·	L 16-41
Louisville	W 16-6		L 10-13	L 34-39	L 3-34	·	L 0-23	·	L 28-56	L 31-38	W 38-21	·	L 24-31	·
NC State	·	W 13-10		·	L 28-35	L 17-24	W 24-3	L 20-39	·	L 6-20	·	·	L 21-24	L 6-26
Georgia Tech	·	W 39-34	·		·	W 42-21	·	L 42-46	W 38-23	L 20-23	·	L 22-31	L 17-45	L 16-30
Virginia Tech	W 39-17	W 34-3	W 35-28	·		·	·	·	L 22-48	·	L 21-38	L 10-38	L 17-55	L 13-30
Clemson	W 31-24	·	W 24-17	L 21-42	·		W 28-7	L 20-31	·	W 28-20	·	L 14-31	·	L 12-17
Duke	W 38-20	W 23-0	L 3-24	·	·	L 7-28		W 47-45	·	·	L 19-30	·	W 30-27	L 21-24
North Carolina	·	·	W 39-20	W 46-42	·	W 31-20	L 45-47		·	L 31-41	L 24-41	L 7-40	W 31-27	·
Boston College	W 31-29	W 56-28	·	L 23-38	W 48-22	·	·	·		W 45-20	W 24-16	L 10-17	L 24-27	·
Miami-FL	W 27-20	W 38-31	W 20-6	W 23-20	·	L 20-28	·	W 41-31	L 20-45		·	·	L 26-29	·
Pittsburgh	W 24-7	L 21-38	·	·	W 38-21	·	W 30-19	W 41-24	L 16-24	·		W 28-13	·	W 21-17
Syracuse	W 41-3	·	·	W 31-22	W 38-10	W 31-14	·	W 40-7	W 17-10	·	L 13-28		·	L 31-35
Virginia	·	W 31-24	W 24-21	W 45-17	W 55-17	·	L 27-30	L 27-31	W 27-24	W 29-26	·	·		·
Wake Forest	W 41-16	·	W 26-6	W 30-16	W 30-13	W 17-12	W 24-21	·	·	·	L 17-21	W 35-31	·
Exp. wins for a #25 team	6.0	5.9	4.9	5.4	5.5	5.0	4.9	5.3	5.3	4.8	5.1	5.2	4.9	4.9
Conf. sched. difficulty rank	14th	13th	5th	11th	12th	6th	4th	10th	9th	1st	7th	8th	2nd	3rd
Projected conf. wins	9.0	7.0	6.0	5.0	5.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	3.0	3.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	1.0
Conference record	9-0	7-2	6-2	5-3	5-3	4-4	4-4	4-4	3-5	3-5	2-6	2-6	2-6	1-7

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team	0 wins	1 win	2 wins	3 wins	4 wins	5 wins	6 wins	7 wins	8 wins	9 wins
Florida State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
Louisville	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NC State	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Georgia Tech	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Virginia Tech	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Clemson	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Duke	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
North Carolina	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Boston College	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Miami-FL	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Pittsburgh	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Syracuse	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Virginia	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Wake Forest	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

	Offensive Eff			Defensive Eff			Overall Efficiency
Team	Pass O Eff	Rush O Eff	Total Off Eff	Pass D Eff	Rush D Eff	Total Def Eff	Overall Eff
Florida State	31	74	32	3	44	8	16
Louisville	14	16	23	15	13	22	22
NC State	73	64	60	10	75	16	31
Georgia Tech	54	26	42	59	114	81	57
Virginia Tech	50	20	38	47	80	53	44
Clemson	62	46	56	1	47	11	23
Duke	52	45	30	48	45	28	24
North Carolina	32	12	27	52	90	45	38
Boston College	109	18	51	113	95	117	88
Miami-FL	22	75	40	40	10	51	40
Pittsburgh	82	109	105	54	18	46	78
Syracuse	66	108	79	71	59	95	87
Virginia	65	92	94	44	86	58	80
Wake Forest	94	89	95	125	26	71	84

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

Florida StateLouisville

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Overall
Florida State	3-1	3-0	4-0	3-0	13-1
Louisville	1-2	3-0	2-2	4-0	10-4
NC State	0-3	4-1	2-0	3-0	9-4
Georgia Tech	0-4	3-0	2-0	2-2	7-6
Virginia Tech	0-2	0-2	3-0	4-2	7-6
Clemson	1-2	3-2	2-0	3-0	9-4
Duke	0-3	3-1	0-1	5-0	8-5
North Carolina	0-2	3-2	2-0	3-1	8-5
Boston College	0-2	2-1	1-2	4-1	7-6
Miami-FL	1-1	1-3	1-2	4-0	7-6
Pittsburgh	0-4	1-2	0-1	2-2	3-9
Syracuse	0-1	0-4	1-0	5-2	6-7
Virginia	0-3	2-3	0-3	1-0	3-9
Wake Forest	0-4	0-2	0-2	4-0	4-8

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

Team	Week 1	Week 2	Week 3	Week 4	Week 5	Week 6	Week 7	Week 8	Week 9	Week 10	Week 11	Week 12	Week 13	Week 14
Florida State	36.3	18.3	0.1	16.0		24.5	20.1	26.2	27.3	14.6	13.2	0.3	16.1	21.5
Louisville	6.9	10.5	4.8	26.6	16.5	33.6	-17.0		33.3	32.8	0.5	16.8	-2.4	6.8
NC State	-2.9	1.4	14.1	1.2	5.9	-5.6	-8.9		15.9	18.6	20.4	20.2	28.1
Georgia Tech	8.3	-6.3	-2.9	10.2	-26.8	14.1		-22.7	8.5	24.0	-10.1	-1.0	11.9
Virginia Tech	7.8	-12.4	-11.1	-12.9	9.3	-3.3	11.4		26.7	-19.9	28.8	-5.0	32.3
Clemson	-6.0	-1.7	25.8	10.8	13.2	-1.6		10.0	5.0	25.6	23.7	13.6	16.9
Duke	28.7	21.8	27.7	21.0	12.3		29.6	0.4	-15.9	-5.4	9.1	-5.2	6.4
North Carolina	19.3	1.1	13.0	20.5		27.9	20.1	-11.1	1.6	9.4	10.1	5.7	-10.8
Boston College	-11.4	-8.1	10.2	-21.8	-3.1	0.3		19.8	-12.3	3.6	-30.4	-10.2	-21.5
Miami-FL	23.0	26.3	10.3	17.0		-4.5	-4.8	8.9	-5.1	-1.8	9.7	3.7	23.9
Pittsburgh	2.9	-11.6	2.0	-16.0	-6.8		26.7	-6.0	-12.0	-2.5	-19.8	1.8	1.5
Syracuse	21.7	23.5	16.1	5.4	-6.7	-29.9	-9.7		-26.9	-13.6	11.6	-1.8	-2.7
Virginia	-17.7	3.2	-11.0	4.2	-5.9	-8.8		15.0	8.6	-25.8	8.5	12.5	-30.4
Wake Forest	1.5	-4.9	-3.9	-12.6		8.4	-10.2	-2.0	-16.6	12.0	-15.6	-5.0	-6.8