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Massachusetts

University of Massachusetts Amherst · 2024 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#128
Efficiency
-18.0
124th FBS
Record
2-10
Conf. record
0-1
Conf. finish
T-2nd
of 3
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Massachusetts went 2-10 and was ranked 128th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 82nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 131st-ranked defense. They ran the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 77th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 96th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-4
Q4
2-4

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 2.0 wins
Strength of Record
130th
-7.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
90th
full season
90th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
2nd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~0.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Eastern MichiganMid-American#108L 1428-2.30%-35.1Q4
2@ ToledoMid-American#71L 2338-17.90%-12.5Q3
3@ BuffaloMid-American#64L 334-13.80%-26.4Q4
4vs Central ConnecticutNECW 3531+12.0100%-23.8Q4
5@ Miami-OHMid-American#59L 2023-18.00%0.2Q3
6@ Northern IllinoisMid-American#65L 2034-18.80%-16.1Q3
7vs MissouriSEC#17L 345-26.50%-31.9Q2
9vs WagnerNECW 357+22.1100%-11.3Q4
10@ Mississippi StateSEC#114L 2045-17.30%-28.4Q3
12vs LibertyConference USA#85L 3435-4.20%-17.0Q4
13@ GeorgiaSEC#4L 2159-41.10%-7.7Q1
14vs UConnFBS Independents#57L 4247-14.10%-6.0Q4

12 played · 2-10. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Massachusetts, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-32.3-17.5-2.6-35-12-26-240-16-32-11-28-17-8-6Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 96th
SR 115thYPP 87thEPA 86th
RushingEff 77th
SR 88thYPP 80thEPA 73rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 90th
SR 76thYPP 104thEPA 88th
Rush defenseEff 129th
SR 126thYPP 121stEPA 131st
Dropback rate 44%Tempo +0.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 75th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 39%1st · Defense allowed: 48%1st2nd · Offense: 41%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 44%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 46%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 66.0Q1 · Allowed: 56.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 90.0Q2 · Allowed: 116.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 24.0Q3 · Allowed: 114.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 83.0Q4 · Allowed: 113.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMassachusettsOffenseDefense
Massachusetts Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 82nd
-2.4
Field position: -2.4Finishing drives: -0.0
Field position -2.4Finishing drives -0.0= -2.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 131st · Finishing 68th

Defensive EffRanked 131st
-14.0
Field position: -1.1Finishing drives: -12.9
Field position -1.1Finishing drives -12.9= -14.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 111th · Finishing 131st

1.99 points per drive on offense, 2.84 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 26.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(197)38% / 62%44%5.9
Q2(229)45% / 55%42%5.2
Q3(155)50% / 50%30%5.2
Q4(204)45% / 55%45%5.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(134)10.439%6.2
2nd(106)9.640%6.6
3rd(96)8.132%5.3
4th(10)6.250%5.6
All (346)38%6.0
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(201)9.639%5.1
2nd(149)6.842%4.5
3rd(76)4.953%5.2
4th(13)1.569%5.1
All (439)43%4.9

Massachusetts, all games.

Massachusetts Football 2024 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ