FanBoardHQ

UConn

University of Connecticut · 2024 · FBS Independents

FanBoardHQ CFP
#57
Efficiency
-1.1
69th FBS
Record
9-4
Conf. record
1-0
Conf. finish
1st
of 3
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UConn went 9-4 and was ranked 57th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 62nd-ranked defense carried them, with an 88th-ranked offense. They ran the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 75th-ranked rushing attack and passed the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with an 85th-ranked passing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
1-2
Q4
8-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
51st
-2.3 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
124th
full season
124th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
4th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~1.0 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ MarylandBig Ten#89L 750-4.20%-33.3Q3
2vs MerrimackFCS IndependentsW 6317+32.0100%15.0Q4
3@ DukeACC#39L 2126-5.40%-0.6Q3
4vs Florida AtlanticAmerican Athletic#124W 4814+18.6100%21.9Q4
5vs BuffaloMid-American#64W 473+8.6100%25.0Q4
6vs TempleAmerican Athletic#123W 2920+21.2100%-14.8Q4
8vs Wake ForestACC#102L 2023+8.20%-12.1Q4
9vs RiceAmerican Athletic#109W 1710+11.1100%-3.8Q4
10vs Georgia StateSun Belt#120W 3427+14.2100%-7.7Q4
11@ UABAmerican Athletic#121W 3123+11.1100%-4.4Q4
13@ SyracuseACC#29L 2431-9.30%-0.2Q2
14@ MassachusettsFBS Independents#128W 4742+14.1100%-13.1Q4
Postseason
vs North CarolinaACC#84W 2714-1.0100%13.2Q3

13 played · 9-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on UConn, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-28.7-4.2+20.3-3315-12225-15-12-4-8-4-0-13Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 85th
SR 77thYPP 98thEPA 87th
RushingEff 75th
SR 99thYPP 59thEPA 76th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 47th
SR 47thYPP 33rdEPA 54th
Rush defenseEff 78th
SR 95thYPP 80thEPA 71st
Dropback rate 47%Tempo +0.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 69th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 40%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 33%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 91.0Q1 · Allowed: 58.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 94.0Q2 · Allowed: 87.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 100.0Q3 · Allowed: 43.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 111.0Q4 · Allowed: 93.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledUConnOffenseDefense
UConn Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 88th
-3.1
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: -2.3
Field position -0.8Finishing drives -2.3= -3.1
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 91st · Finishing 85th

Defensive EffRanked 62nd
+1.1
Field position: +0.3Finishing drives: +0.8
Field position +0.3Finishing drives +0.8= +1.1
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 54th · Finishing 63rd

2.30 points per drive on offense, 1.71 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 31.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(204)46% / 54%43%6.9
Q2(237)48% / 52%39%4.7
Q3(210)49% / 51%44%6.3
Q4(232)41% / 59%41%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(155)9.942%6.4
2nd(133)7.444%6.0
3rd(107)7.736%6.2
4th(9)5.033%6.7
All (404)41%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(237)9.841%5.8
2nd(161)7.542%5.6
3rd(74)5.045%3.8
4th(7)1.371%11.6
All (479)43%5.5

UConn, all games.