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Mid-American

2024 · through CFP Finals

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Mid-American was the 8th-ranked FBS conference in 2024 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 0 teams in the top 25. Ohio led the conference, ranked 46th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Ohio67401211-38-18.0
Miami-OH7654119-57-27.0
Bowling Green707797-66-26.0
Buffalo935079-46-26.0
Western Michigan10289106-75-35.0
Northern Illinois746468-54-44.0
Toledo786828-54-44.0
Akron11810734-83-53.0
Ball State12612053-92-62.0
Central Michigan12211414-82-62.0
Eastern Michigan11310585-72-62.0
Kent State13413440-120-80.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

OhioMiami-OHBowling GreenBuffaloWestern MichiganNorthern IllinoisToledoAkronBall StateCentral MichiganEastern MichiganKent State
OhioL 3-38·L 16-47··L 7-24L 10-30L 21-42L 25-27L 10-35L 0-41
Miami-OHW 38-3L 12-28··L 9-20W 30-20·L 21-27L 7-46L 14-38L 7-34
Bowling Green·W 28-12·L 13-31W 17-7L 26-41L 20-27L 13-38L 13-23·L 6-27
BuffaloW 47-16··W 48-41L 20-23L 15-30L 30-41L 48-51·L 20-37L 7-43
Western Michigan··W 31-13L 41-48W 42-28·L 24-34L 42-45W 16-14L 18-26L 21-52
Northern Illinois·W 20-9L 7-17W 23-20L 28-42W 13-6L 16-29W 25-23L 16-24··
ToledoW 24-7L 20-30W 41-26W 30-15·L 6-13W 21-14·L 10-37L 28-29·
AkronW 30-10·W 27-20W 41-30W 34-24W 29-16L 14-21··L 21-25L 17-38
Ball StateW 42-21W 27-21W 38-13W 51-48W 45-42L 23-25··W 37-34·L 35-37
Central MichiganW 27-25W 46-7W 23-13·L 14-16W 24-16W 37-10·L 34-37W 38-34·
Eastern MichiganW 35-10W 38-14·W 37-20W 26-18·W 29-28W 25-21·L 34-38L 33-52
Kent StateW 41-0W 34-7W 27-6W 43-7W 52-21··W 38-17W 37-35·W 52-33
Exp. wins for a #25 team8.17.87.27.17.37.16.96.97.06.87.17.0
Conf. sched. difficulty rank12th11th9th7th10th6th2nd3rd5th1st8th4th
Projected conf. wins8.07.06.06.05.04.04.03.02.02.02.00.0
Conference record8-17-26-26-25-34-44-43-52-62-62-60-8

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins
Ohio0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Miami-OH0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Bowling Green0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
Buffalo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%—
Western Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Northern Illinois0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Toledo0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Akron0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Ball State0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Central Michigan0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Eastern Michigan0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—
Kent State100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%—

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Ohio524272103205767
Miami-OH471039551754476
Bowling Green75946916986070
Buffalo1121259499917793
Western Michigan459674133135120102
Northern Illinois597411222872974
Toledo10012810834824878
Akron125911171069295118
Ball State9711987129136129126
Central Michigan1358611167119119122
Eastern Michigan11012210911910898113
Kent State89127127132138133134

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
OhioMiami-OH

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Ohio0-00-21-110-011-3
Miami-OH0-10-01-38-19-5
Bowling Green0-20-01-06-47-6
Buffalo0-00-11-28-19-4
Western Michigan0-10-20-16-36-7
Northern Illinois1-00-01-26-38-5
Toledo0-00-03-15-48-5
Akron0-20-10-24-34-8
Ball State0-10-20-13-53-9
Central Michigan0-00-10-34-44-8
Eastern Michigan0-00-10-15-55-7
Kent State0-20-10-20-70-12

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Ohio-10.50.1-19.6-31.80.6-11.3-13.915.02.27.116.67.630.9
Miami-OH-12.0-5.92.8-20.9-6.08.910.810.1-9.9-12.66.616.8-46.6
Bowling Green-5.218.411.7-7.04.6-14.7-14.715.6-2.811.58.1-20.8
Buffalo-13.2-26.61.51.8-33.115.7-18.1-22.31.9-20.35.84.2
Western Michigan-6.3-12.5-11.2-0.2-9.5-13.60.7-0.0-19.8-23.3-18.9-8.9
Northern Illinois9.431.0-10.7-8.4-3.811.6-12.0-17.87.5-4.8-11.2-11.7
Toledo7.7-8.329.2-8.30.5-25.57.3-19.7-10.314.4-19.7-13.6
Akron-5.8-21.3-29.8-11.7-14.9-19.8-10.8-12.2-22.7-11.0-4.3-3.1
Ball State-4.3-27.1-17.1-51.2-19.5-29.6-0.6-2.7-11.4-5.2-27.9-26.5
Central Michigan5.0-45.0-11.2-18.1-18.9-5.7-12.5-29.5-15.1-33.8-8.3-6.8
Eastern Michigan4.3-18.7-4.5-3.8-10.2-24.5-17.0-14.6-5.3-20.4-25.6-14.4
Kent State-30.9-46.6-39.5-18.2-37.0-23.3-20.8-44.7-36.8-24.4-43.9-45.5