FanBoardHQ

Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan University · 2024 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#108
Efficiency
-12.9
113th FBS
Record
5-7
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
T-9th
of 12
Eastern Michigan Fanboard →

Eastern Michigan went 5-7 and was ranked 108th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 98th-ranked defense carried them, with a 109th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 52% of offensive plays with an 110th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 48% of plays with a 122nd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-0
Q2
0-1
Q3
0-1
Q4
5-5

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 5.0 wins
Strength of Record
105th
-5.6 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
129th
full season
129th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
114th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.1 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1@ MassachusettsFBS Independents#128W 2814+2.3100%4.3Q4
2@ WashingtonBig Ten#53L 930-20.50%-18.7Q2
3vs Jacksonville StateConference USA#69W 3734-6.9100%-4.5Q4
4vs Saint FrancisNECW 360+27.8100%-3.8Q4
5@ Kent StateMid-American#134W 5233+18.6100%-10.2Q4
7vs Miami-OHMid-American#59L 1438-7.40%-24.5Q4
8vs Central MichiganMid-American#116W 3834+6.5100%-17.0Q4
9@ AkronMid-American#112L 2125-1.70%-14.6Q4
10vs ToledoMid-American#71L 2829-7.40%-5.3Q4
12@ OhioMid-American#46L 1035-15.30%-20.4Q3
13vs BuffaloMid-American#64L 2037-3.20%-25.6Q4
14@ Western MichiganMid-American#95L 1826-5.20%-14.4Q4

12 played · 5-7. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Eastern Michigan, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-23.2-10.7+1.94-19-5-4-10-25-17-15-5-20-26-14Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 110th
SR 97thYPP 115thEPA 105th
RushingEff 122nd
SR 98thYPP 130thEPA 125th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 119th
SR 113thYPP 119thEPA 123rd
Rush defenseEff 108th
SR 115thYPP 118thEPA 105th
Dropback rate 52%Tempo +10.2 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 86th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 45%1st · Defense allowed: 46%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 48%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 45%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 51.0Q1 · Allowed: 35.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 64.0Q2 · Allowed: 114.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 92.0Q3 · Allowed: 58.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 91.0Q4 · Allowed: 110.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledEastern MichiganOffenseDefense
Eastern Michigan Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 109th
-6.2
Field position: -0.9Finishing drives: -5.2
Field position -0.9Finishing drives -5.2= -6.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 95th · Finishing 105th

Defensive EffRanked 98th
-4.2
Field position: -1.3Finishing drives: -3.0
Field position -1.3Finishing drives -3.0= -4.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 116th · Finishing 93rd

1.97 points per drive on offense, 2.11 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(208)55% / 45%45%5.0
Q2(214)54% / 46%43%5.3
Q3(218)47% / 53%43%4.8
Q4(237)51% / 49%39%5.4
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(183)10.145%5.5
2nd(143)8.936%5.1
3rd(117)7.943%7.6
4th(10)5.420%1.8
All (453)41%5.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(191)9.745%4.5
2nd(143)6.438%4.2
3rd(72)4.944%4.9
4th(18)1.972%2.6
All (424)44%4.4

Eastern Michigan, all games.