FanBoardHQ

Miami-OH

Miami University · 2024 · Mid-American

FanBoardHQ CFP
#59
Efficiency
-2.7
76th FBS
Record
9-5
Conf. record
7-2
Conf. finish
2nd
of 12
Miami-OH Fanboard →

Miami-OH went 9-5 and was ranked 59th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 44th-ranked defense carried them, with a 95th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 56% of offensive plays with a 47th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 44% of plays with a 103rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-1
Q2
0-0
Q3
1-3
Q4
8-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
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14
Expected: 9.0 wins
Strength of Record
54th
-2.5 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
97th
full season
97th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
128th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~7.8 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs NorthwesternBig Ten#94L 613+1.40%-12.0Q4
3vs CincinnatiBig 12#70L 1627-4.70%-5.9Q3
4@ Notre DameFBS Independents#2L 328-31.00%2.8Q1
5vs MassachusettsFBS Independents#128W 2320+18.0100%-20.9Q4
6@ ToledoMid-American#71L 2030-2.70%-6.0Q3
7@ Eastern MichiganMid-American#108W 3814+7.4100%8.9Q4
8vs OhioMid-American#46W 3020+0.4100%10.8Q4
9vs Central MichiganMid-American#116W 467+16.7100%10.1Q4
11@ Ball StateMid-American#122W 2721+13.1100%-9.9Q4
12vs Kent StateMid-American#134W 347+34.3100%-12.6Q4
13vs Northern IllinoisMid-American#65W 209+1.9100%6.6Q4
14@ Bowling GreenMid-American#72W 2812-4.2100%16.8Q3
15vs OhioMid-American#46L 338-2.40%-46.6Q3
Postseason
vs Colorado StateMountain West#74W 4317+6.0100%19.7Q4

14 played · 9-5. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Miami-OH, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-41.5-14.9+11.8-12-63-21-691110-10-13717-47Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 47th
SR 49thYPP 36thEPA 54th
RushingEff 103rd
SR 112thYPP 63rdEPA 111th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 51st
SR 90thYPP 31stEPA 40th
Rush defenseEff 75th
SR 101stYPP 54thEPA 72nd
Dropback rate 56%Tempo -3.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 72nd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 43%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 43%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 36%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 45%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 66.0Q1 · Allowed: 44.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 94.0Q2 · Allowed: 56.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 73.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 100.0Q4 · Allowed: 72.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledMiami-OHOffenseDefense
Miami-OH Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 95th
-4.0
Field position: +5.7Finishing drives: -9.7
Field position +5.7Finishing drives -9.7= -4.0
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 2nd · Finishing 125th

Defensive EffRanked 44th
+3.6
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: +5.1
Field position -1.5Finishing drives +5.1= +3.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 122nd · Finishing 31st

2.08 points per drive on offense, 1.42 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 32.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(205)60% / 40%44%7.2
Q2(202)57% / 43%43%6.2
Q3(150)50% / 50%39%6.7
Q4(234)44% / 56%40%5.6
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(169)9.950%7.5
2nd(137)8.342%7.2
3rd(104)7.533%5.9
4th(8)5.050%3.4
All (418)43%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(190)9.937%5.4
2nd(126)7.643%6.8
3rd(54)6.539%4.5
4th(3)4.367%2.0
All (373)40%5.7

Miami-OH, all games.

Miami-OH Football 2024 — Efficiency & Rankings · FanBoardHQ