FanBoardHQ

Big Ten

2025 · through CFP Finals

Big Ten was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 8 teams in the top 25. Indiana led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.

Projected Standings

Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.

TeamEfficiency rankSOR rankConf. sched. rankOverall recordConf. recordProj. conf. wins
Indiana111816-011-011.0
Ohio State241712-29-19.0
Oregon42613-28-28.0
Michigan2419149-47-27.0
USC1220159-47-27.0
Iowa171699-46-36.0
Illinois251789-45-45.0
Minnesota7444138-55-45.0
Washington1327129-45-45.0
Nebraska6154167-64-54.0
Northwestern5653107-64-54.0
Penn State194757-63-63.0
UCLA8210233-93-63.0
Rutgers727145-72-72.0
Wisconsin667814-82-72.0
Maryland73101114-81-81.0
Michigan State689874-81-81.0
Purdue7612122-100-90.0

Head-to-head Schedule Comparison

Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.

IndianaOhio StateOregonMichiganUSCIowaIllinoisMinnesotaWashingtonNebraskaNorthwesternPenn StateUCLARutgersWisconsinMarylandMichigan StatePurdue
IndianaL 10-13L 22-56··L 15-20L 10-63····L 24-27L 6-56·L 7-31L 10-55L 13-38L 3-56
Ohio StateW 13-10·L 9-27··L 16-34L 3-42L 6-24··L 14-38L 10-48L 9-42L 0-34··L 10-34
OregonW 56-22··L 27-42L 16-18·L 13-42L 14-26·L 14-34L 24-30·L 10-56L 7-21···
Michigan·W 27-9·W 31-13···L 7-24L 27-30L 22-24···L 10-24L 20-45L 20-31L 16-21
USC··W 42-27L 13-31L 21-26W 34-32··L 17-21L 17-38·L 10-29···L 31-45L 17-33
IowaW 20-15·W 18-16·W 26-21·L 3-41·L 16-40·L 24-25·L 28-38L 0-37·L 17-20·
IllinoisW 63-10W 34-16··L 32-34··W 42-25·L 13-20··L 13-35W 27-10L 6-24·L 27-43
Minnesota·W 42-3W 42-13··W 41-3··L 6-24W 38-35··L 28-31L 7-17·L 20-23L 20-27
Washington·W 24-6W 26-14W 24-7··L 25-42····L 14-48L 19-38W 13-10L 20-24·L 13-49
Nebraska···W 30-27W 21-17W 40-16·W 24-6·L 21-28W 37-10L 21-28··L 31-34L 27-38·
Northwestern··W 34-14W 24-22W 38-17·W 20-13L 35-38·W 28-21L 21-22L 14-17····L 0-19
Penn StateW 27-24W 38-14W 30-24··W 25-24···L 10-37W 22-21W 42-37L 36-40··L 10-28·
UCLAW 56-6W 48-10··W 29-10···W 48-14W 28-21W 17-14L 37-42··L 17-20L 13-38·
Rutgers·W 42-9W 56-10··W 38-28W 35-13W 31-28W 38-19··W 40-36··L 20-35·L 24-27
WisconsinW 31-7W 34-0W 21-7W 24-10·W 37-0L 10-27W 17-7L 10-13·····W 27-10··
MarylandW 55-10··W 45-20··W 24-6·W 24-20W 34-31··W 20-17W 35-20L 10-27W 38-28·
Michigan StateW 38-13··W 31-20W 45-31W 20-17·W 23-20·W 38-27·W 28-10W 38-13··L 28-38·
PurdueW 56-3W 34-10·W 21-16W 33-17·W 43-27W 27-20W 49-13·W 19-0··W 27-24···
Exp. wins for a #25 team5.85.84.85.45.55.04.95.45.45.65.04.74.44.53.95.34.84.3
Conf. sched. difficulty rank18th17th6th14th15th9th8th13th12th16th10th5th3rd4th1st11th7th2nd
Projected conf. wins11.09.08.07.07.06.05.05.05.04.04.03.03.02.02.01.01.00.0
Conference record11-09-18-27-27-26-35-45-45-44-54-53-63-62-72-71-81-80-9

Conference win total projections

Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.

Team0 wins1 win2 wins3 wins4 wins5 wins6 wins7 wins8 wins9 wins10 wins11 wins
Indiana0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
Ohio State0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
Oregon0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Michigan0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
USC0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
Iowa0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Illinois0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Minnesota0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Washington0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Nebraska0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Northwestern0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Penn State0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
UCLA0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Rutgers0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Wisconsin0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Maryland0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Michigan State0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Purdue100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Every model rank

Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.

Offensive EffDefensive EffOverall Efficiency
TeamPass O EffRush O EffTotal Off EffPass D EffRush D EffTotal Def EffOverall Eff
Indiana523311551
Ohio State15184212
Oregon82672364
Michigan45102233443424
USC234738624412
Iowa863336830717
Illinois13501460415525
Minnesota701157265616874
Washington23121019173513
Nebraska484343551058761
Northwestern90587748683656
Penn State28411823663119
UCLA1014667631129782
Rutgers20722612012411972
Wisconsin1188111542281966
Maryland77898756515873
Michigan State65796367557468
Purdue78708150966076

Compare teams

Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.

OverallOffenseDefensePass ORush OPass DRush DTempo
IndianaOhio State

Further from center = better (FBS percentile).

Quadrant records

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Overall
Indiana7-02-02-05-016-0
Ohio State5-20-02-05-012-2
Oregon5-22-01-05-013-2
Michigan1-40-04-04-09-4
USC1-31-13-04-09-4
Iowa2-30-13-04-09-4
Illinois2-31-02-14-09-4
Minnesota0-30-01-27-08-5
Washington0-32-03-14-09-4
Nebraska0-40-14-13-07-6
Northwestern1-40-11-15-07-6
Penn State0-41-02-24-07-6
UCLA1-50-11-11-23-9
Rutgers0-60-01-14-05-7
Wisconsin1-61-00-12-14-8
Maryland0-30-11-33-14-8
Michigan State0-40-11-23-14-8
Purdue0-60-20-12-12-10

Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating

Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.

TeamWeek 1Week 2Week 3Week 4Week 5Week 6Week 7Week 8Week 9Week 10Week 11Week 12Week 13Week 14Week 15
Indiana18.423.422.341.223.536.728.332.535.821.123.836.632.9
Ohio State20.711.819.836.931.034.033.935.829.629.529.734.527.4
Oregon37.129.330.715.317.820.336.114.519.826.829.233.8
Michigan14.67.930.99.813.22.033.714.6-0.56.330.86.0
USC30.614.219.414.712.229.421.99.323.618.314.615.9
Iowa-8.57.6-0.412.024.734.714.631.322.416.40.329.4
Illinois12.529.030.4-9.118.113.32.2-1.226.917.4-13.07.1
Minnesota-6.29.1-12.61.1-3.01.719.3-26.3-1.8-1.8-3.710.8
Washington0.630.735.90.57.615.7-2.330.70.529.831.29.9
Nebraska7.223.014.56.69.65.0-17.04.011.810.7-24.8-9.9
Northwestern-13.0-18.1-12.3-1.410.416.215.82.7-1.810.76.78.7
Penn State19.911.322.423.1-8.22.717.20.225.821.130.49.4
UCLA-13.8-7.7-28.20.719.230.83.5-11.6-12.0-12.4-18.8-2.1
Rutgers-7.117.74.64.1-2.41.9-23.52.0-20.412.8-1.55.4
Wisconsin9.412.1-15.5-22.31.2-18.9-8.812.218.68.926.3-10.4
Maryland18.1-8.913.822.79.8-2.7-8.5-6.4-14.0-5.9-20.9-5.7
Michigan State24.5-7.94.83.4-6.6-35.2-1.5-1.31.0-5.916.25.0
Purdue10.48.2-3.81.3-3.7-5.0-14.8-5.111.2-4.4-16.2-9.2