Big Ten
2025 · through CFP Finals
Big Ten was the 2nd-ranked FBS conference in 2025 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 8 teams in the top 25. Indiana led the conference, ranked 1st in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16-0 | 11-0 | 11.0 |
| Ohio State | 2 | 4 | 17 | 12-2 | 9-1 | 9.0 |
| Oregon | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13-2 | 8-2 | 8.0 |
| Michigan | 24 | 19 | 14 | 9-4 | 7-2 | 7.0 |
| USC | 12 | 20 | 15 | 9-4 | 7-2 | 7.0 |
| Iowa | 17 | 16 | 9 | 9-4 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Illinois | 25 | 17 | 8 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Minnesota | 74 | 44 | 13 | 8-5 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Washington | 13 | 27 | 12 | 9-4 | 5-4 | 5.0 |
| Nebraska | 61 | 54 | 16 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Northwestern | 56 | 53 | 10 | 7-6 | 4-5 | 4.0 |
| Penn State | 19 | 47 | 5 | 7-6 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| UCLA | 82 | 102 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 3.0 |
| Rutgers | 72 | 71 | 4 | 5-7 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Wisconsin | 66 | 78 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-7 | 2.0 |
| Maryland | 73 | 101 | 11 | 4-8 | 1-8 | 1.0 |
| Michigan State | 68 | 98 | 7 | 4-8 | 1-8 | 1.0 |
| Purdue | 76 | 121 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-9 | 0.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins | 10 wins | 11 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Ohio State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Oregon | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Michigan | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| USC | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Iowa | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Illinois | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Minnesota | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Washington | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Nebraska | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Northwestern | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Penn State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| UCLA | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Rutgers | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Wisconsin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Maryland | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Michigan State | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Purdue | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Indiana | 5 | 23 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Ohio State | 1 | 51 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Oregon | 8 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 6 | 4 |
| Michigan | 45 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 44 | 34 | 24 |
| USC | 2 | 34 | 7 | 38 | 62 | 44 | 12 |
| Iowa | 86 | 33 | 36 | 8 | 30 | 7 | 17 |
| Illinois | 13 | 50 | 14 | 60 | 41 | 55 | 25 |
| Minnesota | 70 | 115 | 72 | 65 | 61 | 68 | 74 |
| Washington | 23 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 17 | 35 | 13 |
| Nebraska | 48 | 43 | 43 | 55 | 105 | 87 | 61 |
| Northwestern | 90 | 58 | 77 | 48 | 68 | 36 | 56 |
| Penn State | 28 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 66 | 31 | 19 |
| UCLA | 101 | 46 | 67 | 63 | 112 | 97 | 82 |
| Rutgers | 20 | 72 | 26 | 120 | 124 | 119 | 72 |
| Wisconsin | 118 | 81 | 115 | 42 | 28 | 19 | 66 |
| Maryland | 77 | 89 | 87 | 56 | 51 | 58 | 73 |
| Michigan State | 65 | 79 | 63 | 67 | 55 | 74 | 68 |
| Purdue | 78 | 70 | 81 | 50 | 96 | 60 | 76 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 7-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 16-0 |
| Ohio State | 5-2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | 5-0 | 12-2 |
| Oregon | 5-2 | 2-0 | 1-0 | 5-0 | 13-2 |
| Michigan | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-0 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| USC | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| Iowa | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| Illinois | 2-3 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| Minnesota | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7-0 | 8-5 |
| Washington | 0-3 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 4-0 | 9-4 |
| Nebraska | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 3-0 | 7-6 |
| Northwestern | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5-0 | 7-6 |
| Penn State | 0-4 | 1-0 | 2-2 | 4-0 | 7-6 |
| UCLA | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3-9 |
| Rutgers | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4-0 | 5-7 |
| Wisconsin | 1-6 | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 4-8 |
| Maryland | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 4-8 |
| Michigan State | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 4-8 |
| Purdue | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2-10 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 | Week 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana | 18.4 | 23.4 | 22.3 | 41.2 | 23.5 | 36.7 | 28.3 | 32.5 | 35.8 | 21.1 | 23.8 | 36.6 | 32.9 | ||
| Ohio State | 20.7 | 11.8 | 19.8 | 36.9 | 31.0 | 34.0 | 33.9 | 35.8 | 29.6 | 29.5 | 29.7 | 34.5 | 27.4 | ||
| Oregon | 37.1 | 29.3 | 30.7 | 15.3 | 17.8 | 20.3 | 36.1 | 14.5 | 19.8 | 26.8 | 29.2 | 33.8 | |||
| Michigan | 14.6 | 7.9 | 30.9 | 9.8 | 13.2 | 2.0 | 33.7 | 14.6 | -0.5 | 6.3 | 30.8 | 6.0 | |||
| USC | 30.6 | 14.2 | 19.4 | 14.7 | 12.2 | 29.4 | 21.9 | 9.3 | 23.6 | 18.3 | 14.6 | 15.9 | |||
| Iowa | -8.5 | 7.6 | -0.4 | 12.0 | 24.7 | 34.7 | 14.6 | 31.3 | 22.4 | 16.4 | 0.3 | 29.4 | |||
| Illinois | 12.5 | 29.0 | 30.4 | -9.1 | 18.1 | 13.3 | 2.2 | -1.2 | 26.9 | 17.4 | -13.0 | 7.1 | |||
| Minnesota | -6.2 | 9.1 | -12.6 | 1.1 | -3.0 | 1.7 | 19.3 | -26.3 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -3.7 | 10.8 | |||
| Washington | 0.6 | 30.7 | 35.9 | 0.5 | 7.6 | 15.7 | -2.3 | 30.7 | 0.5 | 29.8 | 31.2 | 9.9 | |||
| Nebraska | 7.2 | 23.0 | 14.5 | 6.6 | 9.6 | 5.0 | -17.0 | 4.0 | 11.8 | 10.7 | -24.8 | -9.9 | |||
| Northwestern | -13.0 | -18.1 | -12.3 | -1.4 | 10.4 | 16.2 | 15.8 | 2.7 | -1.8 | 10.7 | 6.7 | 8.7 | |||
| Penn State | 19.9 | 11.3 | 22.4 | 23.1 | -8.2 | 2.7 | 17.2 | 0.2 | 25.8 | 21.1 | 30.4 | 9.4 | |||
| UCLA | -13.8 | -7.7 | -28.2 | 0.7 | 19.2 | 30.8 | 3.5 | -11.6 | -12.0 | -12.4 | -18.8 | -2.1 | |||
| Rutgers | -7.1 | 17.7 | 4.6 | 4.1 | -2.4 | 1.9 | -23.5 | 2.0 | -20.4 | 12.8 | -1.5 | 5.4 | |||
| Wisconsin | 9.4 | 12.1 | -15.5 | -22.3 | 1.2 | -18.9 | -8.8 | 12.2 | 18.6 | 8.9 | 26.3 | -10.4 | |||
| Maryland | 18.1 | -8.9 | 13.8 | 22.7 | 9.8 | -2.7 | -8.5 | -6.4 | -14.0 | -5.9 | -20.9 | -5.7 | |||
| Michigan State | 24.5 | -7.9 | 4.8 | 3.4 | -6.6 | -35.2 | -1.5 | -1.3 | 1.0 | -5.9 | 16.2 | 5.0 | |||
| Purdue | 10.4 | 8.2 | -3.8 | 1.3 | -3.7 | -5.0 | -14.8 | -5.1 | 11.2 | -4.4 | -16.2 | -9.2 |