FanBoardHQ

Pittsburgh

University of Pittsburgh · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#55
Efficiency
+3.3
56th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
3-5
Conf. finish
T-10th
of 17
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Pittsburgh went 7-6 and was ranked 55th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 59th-ranked defense carried them, with a 63rd-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with an 115th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 51st-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
1-1
Q3
3-0
Q4
3-2

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
58th
-2.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
60th
full season
60th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
29th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.9 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Kent StateMid-American#134W 5524+40.3100%-0.1Q4
2@ CincinnatiBig 12#70W 2827-4.2100%7.2Q2
3vs West VirginiaBig 12#68W 3834+6.8100%2.9Q4
4vs Youngstown StateMVFCW 7317+31.1100%19.2Q4
6@ North CarolinaACC#84W 3424+0.6100%12.9Q3
7vs CaliforniaACC#75W 1715+4.3100%0.6Q3
9vs SyracuseACC#29W 4113+0.6100%31.8Q3
10@ SMUACC#14L 2548-16.20%-12.6Q1
11vs VirginiaACC#76L 1924+7.70%-9.4Q4
12vs ClemsonACC#22L 2024-10.00%9.7Q1
13@ LouisvilleACC#21L 937-15.70%-14.2Q1
14@ Boston CollegeACC#50L 2334-6.30%-1.3Q2
Postseason
vs ToledoMid-American#71L 4648+6.10%-7.0Q4

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Pittsburgh, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-10.6+8.8+28.1-0731913132-13-910-14-1Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 115th
SR 99thYPP 103rdEPA 125th
RushingEff 51st
SR 60thYPP 52ndEPA 53rd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 71st
SR 57thYPP 62ndEPA 79th
Rush defenseEff 14th
SR 29thYPP 19thEPA 11th
Dropback rate 58%Tempo +2.0 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 58th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 42%1st · Defense allowed: 38%1st2nd · Offense: 45%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 42%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 40%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 64.0Q1 · Allowed: 73.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 109.0Q2 · Allowed: 108.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 69.0Q3 · Allowed: 82.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 142.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledPittsburghOffenseDefense
Pittsburgh Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 63rd
+0.3
Field position: +0.9Finishing drives: -0.6
Field position +0.9Finishing drives -0.6= +0.3
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 36th · Finishing 73rd

Defensive EffRanked 59th
+1.5
Field position: -0.8Finishing drives: +2.3
Field position -0.8Finishing drives +2.3= +1.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 100th · Finishing 52nd

2.32 points per drive on offense, 2.02 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 28.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(203)57% / 43%44%6.3
Q2(231)65% / 35%39%6.0
Q3(209)54% / 46%42%5.1
Q4(257)61% / 39%46%6.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(206)10.343%6.4
2nd(196)8.943%6.7
3rd(119)8.635%5.1
4th(13)4.538%6.1
All (534)41%6.2
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(203)9.841%5.1
2nd(101)7.149%6.0
3rd(55)4.755%5.2
4th(7)1.371%20.7
All (366)46%5.7

Pittsburgh, all games.