FanBoardHQ

Syracuse

Syracuse University · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#29
Efficiency
+5.4
49th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
5-3
Conf. finish
T-4th
of 17
Syracuse Fanboard →

Syracuse went 10-3 and was ranked 29th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 18th-ranked offense was the engine, backed by an 89th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 62% of offensive plays with a 19th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 38% of plays with an 83rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-0
Q2
3-2
Q3
3-0
Q4
3-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
27th
+0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
64th
full season
64th
CFP committee
#21
FanBoardHQ has them 8 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
46th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs OhioMid-American#46W 3822+8.5100%15.5Q4
2vs Georgia TechACC#47W 3128+2.5100%9.0Q3
4vs StanfordACC#106L 2426+13.40%-10.6Q4
5vs Holy CrossPatriotW 4214+29.2100%-0.5Q4
6@ UNLVMountain West#31W 4441-7.0100%11.6Q2
7@ NC StateACC#87W 2417+6.1100%9.6Q3
9@ PittsburghACC#55L 1341-0.60%-31.3Q2
10vs Virginia TechACC#52W 3831-3.8100%11.2Q2
11@ Boston CollegeACC#50L 3137-4.20%3.0Q2
12@ CaliforniaACC#75W 3325+1.0100%15.1Q2
13vs UConnFBS Independents#57W 3124+9.3100%4.4Q4
14vs Miami-FLACC#20W 4238-8.1100%15.6Q1
Postseason
vs Washington StatePac-12#61W 5235+4.2100%17.4Q3

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Syracuse, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.5-7.9+11.8169-11-11210-3111315416Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 19th
SR 6thYPP 24thEPA 31st
RushingEff 83rd
SR 35thYPP 112thEPA 88th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 88th
SR 80thYPP 68thEPA 97th
Rush defenseEff 76th
SR 55thYPP 101stEPA 74th
Dropback rate 62%Tempo +12.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 56th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 44%1st2nd · Offense: 48%2nd · Defense allowed: 45%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 53%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 43%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 65.0Q1 · Allowed: 79.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 152.0Q2 · Allowed: 93.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 107.0Q3 · Allowed: 55.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 107.0Q4 · Allowed: 108.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSyracuseOffenseDefense
Syracuse Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 18th
+8.4
Field position: -0.7Finishing drives: +9.1
Field position -0.7Finishing drives +9.1= +8.4
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 83rd · Finishing 11th

Defensive EffRanked 89th
-2.8
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: -2.6
Field position -0.2Finishing drives -2.6= -2.8
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 77th · Finishing 88th

2.83 points per drive on offense, 2.33 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(232)65% / 35%48%6.2
Q2(286)69% / 31%52%6.6
Q3(230)63% / 37%50%7.2
Q4(235)54% / 46%43%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(238)10.253%8.0
2nd(208)9.049%7.5
3rd(154)7.651%7.2
4th(19)5.947%4.3
All (619)51%7.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(205)9.540%4.5
2nd(111)5.646%3.8
3rd(35)4.351%3.4
4th(12)3.092%5.8
All (364)44%4.2

Syracuse, all games.