FanBoardHQ

Clemson

Clemson University · 2024 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#22
Efficiency
+16.0
17th FBS
Record
10-4
Conf. record
8-1
Conf. finish
T-1st
of 17
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Clemson went 10-4 and was ranked 22nd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Offense (23rd) and defense (23rd) were about even. They passed the ball on 57% of offensive plays with a 23rd-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 43% of plays with a 5th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
2-4
Q2
1-0
Q3
1-0
Q4
6-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
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3
4
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Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
23rd
+0.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
52nd
full season
52nd
CFP committee
#16
FanBoardHQ has them 6 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
79th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~6.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs GeorgiaSEC#4L 334-4.40%-7.1Q1
2vs Appalachian StateSun Belt#97W 6620+30.5100%27.8Q4
4vs NC StateACC#87W 5935+22.2100%26.4Q4
5vs StanfordACC#106W 4014+24.0100%15.3Q4
6@ Florida StateACC#117W 2913+20.4100%10.7Q4
7@ Wake ForestACC#102W 4914+19.8100%29.3Q3
8vs VirginiaACC#76W 4831+20.4100%21.5Q4
10vs LouisvilleACC#21L 2133+2.50%-0.9Q1
11@ Virginia TechACC#52W 2414+1.3100%26.5Q1
12@ PittsburghACC#55W 2420+10.0100%9.5Q2
13vs The CitadelSouthernW 5114+45.2100%18.1Q4
14vs South CarolinaSEC#16L 1417+2.70%9.9Q1
15vs SMUACC#14W 3431-0.8100%19.4Q1
Postseason
@ TexasSEC#5L 2438-10.90%10.7Q1

14 played · 10-4. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Clemson, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-4.2+11.1+26.4-7282615112921-12710181019Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 23rd
SR 31stYPP 18thEPA 25th
RushingEff 5th
SR 7thYPP 5thEPA 8th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 18th
SR 41stYPP 12thEPA 22nd
Rush defenseEff 42nd
SR 32ndYPP 66thEPA 36th
Dropback rate 57%Tempo +1.1 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 53rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 46%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 47%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 46%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 38%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 135.0Q1 · Allowed: 34.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 137.0Q2 · Allowed: 96.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 110.0Q3 · Allowed: 54.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 85.0Q4 · Allowed: 138.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledClemsonOffenseDefense
Clemson Offense vs Defense, 2024
Offensive EffRanked 23rd
+6.7
Field position: +0.4Finishing drives: +6.3
Field position +0.4Finishing drives +6.3= +6.7
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 48th · Finishing 24th

Defensive EffRanked 23rd
+7.2
Field position: +2.1Finishing drives: +5.1
Field position +2.1Finishing drives +5.1= +7.2
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 7th · Finishing 32nd

2.60 points per drive on offense, 1.82 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(223)58% / 42%47%7.8
Q2(274)59% / 41%48%6.6
Q3(239)58% / 42%48%6.1
Q4(250)49% / 51%43%5.2
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(242)9.848%7.0
2nd(171)7.845%6.7
3rd(131)8.037%6.9
4th(8)4.138%-0.6
All (552)44%6.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)9.744%5.6
2nd(156)7.249%5.7
3rd(67)4.361%7.8
4th(13)2.069%3.7
All (434)50%5.9

Clemson, all games.