ACC
2022 · through CFP Finals
ACC was the 5th-ranked FBS conference in 2022 by average FanBoardHQ CFP rankings, with 2 teams in the top 25. Clemson led the conference, ranked 15th in the FanBoardHQ CFP.
Projected Standings
Every member ordered by projected conference win total — per-game win probabilities combined across each team’s conference schedule. Click any column to re-sort.
| Team | Efficiency rank | SOR rank | Conf. sched. rank | Overall record | Conf. record | Proj. conf. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 16 | 15 | 12 | 11-3 | 9-0 | 9.0 |
| North Carolina | 53 | 32 | 13 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 6.0 |
| Duke | 34 | 41 | 14 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 5.0 |
| Florida State | 13 | 17 | 10 | 10-3 | 5-3 | 5.0 |
| Pittsburgh | 28 | 27 | 11 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 5.0 |
| Georgia Tech | 84 | 74 | 8 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Louisville | 24 | 31 | 7 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| NC State | 43 | 34 | 6 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Syracuse | 42 | 56 | 4 | 7-6 | 4-4 | 4.0 |
| Miami-FL | 82 | 87 | 9 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Wake Forest | 31 | 36 | 3 | 8-5 | 3-5 | 3.0 |
| Boston College | 103 | 114 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2.0 |
| Virginia | 87 | 109 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-6 | 1.0 |
| Virginia Tech | 97 | 116 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1.0 |
Head-to-head Schedule Comparison
Read a column top to bottom for that team’s full conference schedule — opponents (the rows) are ordered by projected conference wins, so you can see whether a team drew more of the top or the bottom of the league. Cell shade = margin; click a result for the game breakdown, a “Wk N” cell for the matchup projection.
Conference win total projections
Probability of each final conference win total, from per-game win probabilities combined across the schedule. Darker green = more likely; each team’s single most likely total is in bold.
| Team | 0 wins | 1 win | 2 wins | 3 wins | 4 wins | 5 wins | 6 wins | 7 wins | 8 wins | 9 wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| North Carolina | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Duke | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Florida State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Pittsburgh | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Georgia Tech | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Louisville | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| NC State | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Syracuse | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Miami-FL | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Wake Forest | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Boston College | 0.0% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| Virginia | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
| Virginia Tech | 0.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — |
Every model rank
Where each member sits in every FanBoardHQ model. Default order is projected conference wins; click any column to re-sort. Pass/Rush Eff blend EPA/play, success rate, and yards/play, standardized over the FBS field.
| Offensive Eff | Defensive Eff | Overall Efficiency | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Pass O Eff | Rush O Eff | Total Off Eff | Pass D Eff | Rush D Eff | Total Def Eff | Overall Eff |
| Clemson | 53 | 38 | 39 | 11 | 24 | 10 | 16 |
| North Carolina | 15 | 32 | 16 | 120 | 96 | 104 | 53 |
| Duke | 34 | 25 | 22 | 79 | 50 | 61 | 34 |
| Florida State | 13 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 42 | 36 | 13 |
| Pittsburgh | 47 | 31 | 46 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 28 |
| Georgia Tech | 116 | 84 | 106 | 33 | 84 | 43 | 84 |
| Louisville | 56 | 23 | 60 | 24 | 34 | 13 | 24 |
| NC State | 79 | 95 | 85 | 34 | 6 | 19 | 43 |
| Syracuse | 38 | 48 | 41 | 38 | 87 | 53 | 42 |
| Miami-FL | 85 | 78 | 101 | 94 | 51 | 54 | 82 |
| Wake Forest | 11 | 111 | 17 | 63 | 62 | 57 | 31 |
| Boston College | 91 | 133 | 108 | 60 | 80 | 85 | 103 |
| Virginia | 120 | 97 | 109 | 58 | 43 | 49 | 87 |
| Virginia Tech | 111 | 109 | 121 | 50 | 47 | 62 | 97 |
Compare teams
Pick up to three teams to compare their strengths across every model.
Further from center = better (FBS percentile).
Quadrant records
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 1-2 | 2-0 | 3-1 | 5-0 | 11-3 |
| North Carolina | 0-2 | 3-1 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 9-5 |
| Duke | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 6-0 | 9-4 |
| Florida State | 2-1 | 3-2 | 1-0 | 4-0 | 10-3 |
| Pittsburgh | 0-2 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 3-1 | 9-4 |
| Georgia Tech | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5-7 |
| Louisville | 0-2 | 3-2 | 4-0 | 1-1 | 8-5 |
| NC State | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 8-5 |
| Syracuse | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 4-0 | 7-6 |
| Miami-FL | 0-2 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 3-1 | 5-7 |
| Wake Forest | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 4-0 | 8-5 |
| Boston College | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3-9 |
| Virginia | 0-1 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 3-7 |
| Virginia Tech | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3-8 |
Weekly GameScore Efficiency Rating
Each team's single-game GameScore, week by week — points better (or worse) than an average team, opponent-adjusted. Green = strong, red = weak, centered at 0. Click a week header to rank that week’s performances, or a cell for that game.
| Team | Week 0 | Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | Week 7 | Week 8 | Week 9 | Week 10 | Week 11 | Week 12 | Week 13 | Week 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 18.1 | 23.4 | 11.2 | 11.4 | 16.6 | 15.2 | 25.9 | 8.5 | -9.8 | 22.1 | 22.4 | 2.8 | 32.9 | ||
| North Carolina | -0.2 | 3.7 | -10.7 | 17.5 | 5.3 | 14.5 | 24.6 | 1.5 | 16.1 | -11.8 | 2.4 | -14.3 | |||
| Duke | 21.0 | 2.4 | 13.4 | -0.4 | 17.4 | -1.8 | -1.5 | 16.2 | -0.1 | 5.9 | 11.9 | 9.9 | |||
| Florida State | 9.9 | 16.3 | 17.6 | 21.3 | -6.3 | 5.7 | 6.0 | 19.1 | 33.0 | 36.7 | 28.1 | 14.5 | |||
| Pittsburgh | 10.6 | 20.7 | 11.2 | 14.3 | -12.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -10.6 | 12.8 | 29.3 | 6.6 | 29.0 | |||
| Georgia Tech | -8.2 | -7.8 | -28.6 | -9.8 | 17.0 | 5.7 | -14.8 | -7.0 | 6.6 | -30.2 | 11.1 | 6.2 | |||
| Louisville | -16.5 | 14.3 | 10.6 | 18.2 | -9.3 | 11.4 | 20.1 | 33.7 | 26.8 | 4.1 | 15.6 | -5.3 | |||
| NC State | 7.4 | 15.5 | 19.8 | 20.6 | 4.5 | 17.5 | -9.0 | -10.6 | 15.6 | -14.6 | 1.8 | 8.0 | |||
| Syracuse | 33.7 | 25.7 | 1.5 | -6.1 | 10.1 | 21.4 | 12.6 | -7.0 | 3.1 | -18.6 | -0.8 | 1.6 | |||
| Miami-FL | 8.1 | 13.1 | 0.3 | -24.4 | -5.8 | 3.6 | -12.1 | -3.0 | -20.6 | 20.5 | -12.1 | -23.9 | |||
| Wake Forest | -5.9 | 24.0 | -4.9 | 13.1 | 32.4 | 28.0 | 10.3 | -13.3 | 0.1 | -2.3 | 16.6 | 8.5 | |||
| Boston College | -13.3 | -21.1 | -15.2 | -14.7 | 10.1 | -10.7 | -11.2 | -22.1 | -1.5 | 10.3 | -30.3 | -5.8 | |||
| Virginia | 5.8 | -1.1 | -13.5 | 6.2 | -14.7 | -6.3 | 3.7 | -7.8 | -3.4 | -30.4 | |||||
| Virginia Tech | -12.6 | 2.3 | -4.7 | -23.5 | -21.6 | -0.1 | -16.6 | 8.4 | -19.9 | -5.4 | 1.8 |