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Boston College

Boston College · 2022 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#113
Efficiency
-10.4
103rd FBS
Record
3-9
Conf. record
2-6
Conf. finish
12th
of 14
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Boston College went 3-9 and was ranked 113th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 85th-ranked defense carried them, with a 108th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 63% of offensive plays with a 90th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 37% of plays with a 133rd-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-3
Q2
2-2
Q3
0-1
Q4
1-3

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 3.0 wins
Strength of Record
114th
-4.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
46th
full season
46th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
28th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.4 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs RutgersBig Ten#96L 2122+1.00%-13.3Q4
2@ Virginia TechACC#111L 1027-4.90%-21.1Q4
3vs MaineCAAW 3817+23.2100%-15.2Q4
4@ Florida StateACC#18L 1444-30.20%-14.7Q1
5vs LouisvilleACC#27W 3433-18.9100%10.1Q2
6vs ClemsonACC#15L 331-22.60%-10.7Q1
8@ Wake ForestACC#31L 1543-22.70%-11.2Q2
9@ UConnFBS Independents#99L 313+1.70%-22.1Q4
10vs DukeACC#35L 3138-16.50%-1.5Q2
11@ NC StateACC#36W 2120-19.4100%10.3Q2
12@ Notre DameFBS Independents#21L 044-24.90%-30.3Q1
13vs SyracuseACC#52L 2332-13.90%-5.8Q3

12 played · 3-9. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Boston College, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-27.1-10.0+7.0-13-21-15-1510-11-11-22-210-30-6Week 0Week 17
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 90th
SR 114thYPP 91stEPA 81st
RushingEff 133rd
SR 131stYPP 126thEPA 132nd
Defense
Pass defenseEff 59th
SR 49thYPP 63rdEPA 68th
Rush defenseEff 80th
SR 89thYPP 94thEPA 60th
Dropback rate 63%Tempo -0.5 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 50th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 37%1st · Defense allowed: 43%1st2nd · Offense: 37%2nd · Defense allowed: 43%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 35%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 37%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 55.0Q1 · Allowed: 102.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 58.0Q2 · Allowed: 102.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 52.0Q3 · Allowed: 82.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 51.0Q4 · Allowed: 76.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledBoston CollegeOffenseDefense
Boston College Offense vs Defense, 2022
Offensive EffRanked 108th
-8.2
Field position: -1.5Finishing drives: -6.7
Field position -1.5Finishing drives -6.7= -8.2
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 117th · Finishing 105th

Defensive EffRanked 85th
-2.6
Field position: -1.9Finishing drives: -0.7
Field position -1.9Finishing drives -0.7= -2.6
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 117th · Finishing 76th

1.37 points per drive on offense, 2.31 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 29.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(167)56% / 44%35%5.2
Q2(207)63% / 37%35%4.9
Q3(172)66% / 34%37%5.2
Q4(227)59% / 41%40%4.3
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(160)9.941%5.1
2nd(164)8.540%6.4
3rd(138)8.729%5.1
4th(10)6.130%3.8
All (472)37%5.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(167)9.934%3.9
2nd(95)7.332%3.7
3rd(33)5.155%3.1
4th(6)3.767%7.3
All (301)36%3.8

Boston College, all games.