FanBoardHQ

South Carolina

University of South Carolina · 2025 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#78
Efficiency
+7.1
43rd FBS
Record
4-8
Conf. record
1-7
Conf. finish
T-13th
of 16
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South Carolina went 4-8 and was ranked 78th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 17th-ranked defense carried them, with a 78th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 51% of offensive plays with a 55th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 49% of plays with a 47th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
0-5
Q2
0-3
Q3
1-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Expected: 4.0 wins
Strength of Record
93rd
-3.1 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
13th
full season
13th
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
3rd
a 25th-ranked team would win ~3.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Virginia TechACC#102W 2411+13.5100%9.3Q4
2vs South Carolina StateMEACW 3810+32.4100%2.5Q4
3vs VanderbiltSEC#15L 731-9.30%-11.4Q1
4@ MissouriSEC#34L 2029-6.30%3.7Q2
5vs KentuckySEC#62W 3513+6.6100%27.8Q3
7@ LSUSEC#41L 1020-5.50%1.9Q2
8vs OklahomaSEC#13L 726-7.20%-3.7Q1
9vs AlabamaSEC#10L 2229-7.10%7.2Q1
10@ Ole MissSEC#9L 1430-14.60%5.5Q1
12@ Texas A&MSEC#7L 3031-14.40%22.2Q1
13vs Coastal CarolinaSun Belt#99W 517+23.8100%25.3Q4
14vs ClemsonACC#53L 1428+2.00%-5.0Q2

12 played · 4-8. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on South Carolina, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-8.2+8.2+24.792-114282-4752225-5Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 55th
SR 70thYPP 31stEPA 59th
RushingEff 47th
SR 47thYPP 41stEPA 49th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 62nd
SR 87thYPP 71stEPA 52nd
Rush defenseEff 14th
SR 21stYPP 18thEPA 9th
Dropback rate 51%Tempo -2.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 43rd on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 41%1st · Defense allowed: 45%1st2nd · Offense: 39%2nd · Defense allowed: 41%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 37%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 42%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 69.0Q1 · Allowed: 43.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 81.0Q2 · Allowed: 71.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 47.0Q3 · Allowed: 61.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 28.0Q4 · Allowed: 64.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledSouth CarolinaOffenseDefense
South Carolina Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 78th
-1.9
Field position: +0.8Finishing drives: -2.7
Field position +0.8Finishing drives -2.7= -1.9
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 35th · Finishing 84th

Defensive EffRanked 17th
+8.0
Field position: -0.2Finishing drives: +8.2
Field position -0.2Finishing drives +8.2= +8.0
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 77th · Finishing 16th

1.61 points per drive on offense, 1.71 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 27.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(167)45% / 55%40%6.6
Q2(193)55% / 45%41%6.1
Q3(167)51% / 49%36%6.0
Q4(209)52% / 48%39%4.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(151)10.149%9.3
2nd(115)9.633%3.9
3rd(90)9.621%4.9
4th(19)8.553%9.3
All (375)38%6.5
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(169)10.133%4.0
2nd(112)7.845%4.9
3rd(67)6.051%6.2
4th(13)3.654%5.4
All (361)41%4.7

South Carolina, all games.