FanBoardHQ

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt University · 2025 · SEC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#15
Efficiency
+19.1
9th FBS
Record
10-3
Conf. record
6-2
Conf. finish
T-5th
of 16
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Vanderbilt went 10-3 and was ranked 15th in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 2nd-ranked offense was the engine, backed by a 69th-ranked defense. They passed the ball on 53% of offensive plays with a 4th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 47% of plays with a 4th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-3
Q2
4-0
Q3
2-0
Q4
3-0

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Expected: 10.0 wins
Strength of Record
15th
+1.7 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
41st
full season
41st
CFP committee
#14
FanBoardHQ has them 1 spots lower
Conf. sched. difficulty
14th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~4.3 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs Charleston SouthernOVC-Big SouthW 453+50.8100%11.9Q4
2@ Virginia TechACC#102W 4420+22.8100%21.6Q3
3@ South CarolinaSEC#78W 317+9.3100%34.4Q2
4vs Georgia StateSun Belt#134W 7021+41.5100%23.9Q4
5vs Utah StateMountain West#81W 5535+24.8100%19.4Q4
6@ AlabamaSEC#10L 1430-0.60%2.4Q1
8vs LSUSEC#41W 3124+12.0100%15.8Q2
9vs MissouriSEC#34W 1710+11.2100%16.1Q2
10@ TexasSEC#14L 3134+0.90%10.2Q1
11vs AuburnSEC#57W 4538+10.6100%11.8Q2
13vs KentuckySEC#62W 4517+18.6100%30.7Q3
14@ TennesseeSEC#33W 4524+2.3100%36.4Q1
Postseason
vs IowaBig Ten#16L 2734+2.60%9.4Q1

13 played · 10-3. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Vanderbilt, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

+2.9+18.2+33.512223424192161610123136Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 4th
SR 3rdYPP 7thEPA 3rd
RushingEff 4th
SR 9thYPP 5thEPA 4th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 83rd
SR 65thYPP 62ndEPA 101st
Rush defenseEff 25th
SR 38thYPP 29thEPA 20th
Dropback rate 53%Tempo -7.9 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 54th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 50%1st · Defense allowed: 42%1st2nd · Offense: 52%2nd · Defense allowed: 40%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 54%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 47%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 73.0Q1 · Allowed: 68.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 154.0Q2 · Allowed: 102.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 132.0Q3 · Allowed: 50.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 135.0Q4 · Allowed: 78.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledVanderbiltOffenseDefense
Vanderbilt Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 2nd
+17.8
Field position: -0.6Finishing drives: +18.4
Field position -0.6Finishing drives +18.4= +17.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 89th · Finishing 1st

Defensive EffRanked 69th
-0.5
Field position: +1.2Finishing drives: -1.7
Field position +1.2Finishing drives -1.7= -0.5
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 33rd · Finishing 78th

3.47 points per drive on offense, 2.07 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(162)52% / 48%55%7.4
Q2(235)59% / 41%52%7.5
Q3(198)51% / 49%56%8.5
Q4(198)47% / 53%43%7.1
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(198)10.155%9.4
2nd(123)8.456%9.2
3rd(86)7.549%7.3
4th(11)6.255%4.5
All (418)54%8.8
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(190)9.745%6.7
2nd(133)6.948%5.8
3rd(45)4.562%7.2
4th(7)1.357%1.9
All (375)49%6.4

Vanderbilt, all games.