FanBoardHQ

Clemson

Clemson University · 2025 · ACC

FanBoardHQ CFP
#53
Efficiency
+7.9
40th FBS
Record
7-6
Conf. record
4-4
Conf. finish
T-8th
of 17
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Clemson went 7-6 and was ranked 53rd in the FanBoardHQ CFP Rankings (blended resume and efficiency). Their 37th-ranked defense carried them, with a 49th-ranked offense. They passed the ball on 58% of offensive plays with a 38th-ranked passing attack and ran the ball on the remaining 42% of plays with a 66th-ranked rushing attack.

Quadrant record

By opponent strength, adjusted for where the game was played.

Q1
1-1
Q2
2-3
Q3
0-1
Q4
4-1

Projected wins

Per-game win probabilities combined across the full schedule.

0
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3
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Expected: 7.0 wins
Strength of Record
63rd
-2.2 wins above a 25th-ranked team's expectation
Strength of Schedule
to date
63rd
full season
63rd
AP poll
Unranked
Conf. sched. difficulty
56th
a 25th-ranked team would win ~5.7 conference games on this schedule

The resume

Every game on the schedule. Click a row for the game breakdown (played) or the matchup projection (upcoming).

WkOpponentConfOpp rankResultExp. marginWin probGameScoreQuad
1vs LSUSEC#41L 1017+0.80%-0.1Q2
2vs TroySun Belt#80W 2716+19.8100%-1.1Q4
3@ Georgia TechACC#36L 2124-2.10%9.1Q2
4vs SyracuseACC#116L 2134+22.90%-26.1Q4
6@ North CarolinaACC#103W 3810+15.0100%26.9Q4
7@ Boston CollegeACC#124W 4110+15.0100%27.7Q4
8vs SMUACC#31L 2435-1.30%-2.2Q2
10vs DukeACC#44L 4546+5.90%4.3Q3
11vs Florida StateACC#65W 2410+1.0100%20.5Q2
12@ LouisvilleACC#29W 2019-5.9100%15.1Q1
13vs FurmanSouthernW 4510+38.6100%2.4Q4
14@ South CarolinaSEC#78W 2814-2.0100%20.0Q2
Postseason
vs Penn StateBig Ten#39L 1022-7.40%2.5Q1

13 played · 7-6. Expected margin and gamescore use the latest ratings — a completed game shows what the model would say now, not that week.

The season

The model’s read on Clemson, recomputed after every week. Toggle between overall, offensive, and defensive efficiency (each with a dot for that week’s game) or the FanBoardHQ CFP rank.

-21.8+0.8+23.4-0-19-262728-242015220Week 0Week 20
Line = the model's read each week; dots = that week's game (green above the line, red below).

Passing & rushing

Opponent-adjusted, FBS-only. The bar is the blended Eff rank — EPA/play (scoring value), success rate (staying on schedule), and yards/play (explosiveness), each standardized against the FBS field. The three ranks below each bar are those components, so you can see what's driving it.

Offense
PassingEff 38th
SR 38thYPP 34thEPA 42nd
RushingEff 66th
SR 60thYPP 99thEPA 54th
Defense
Pass defenseEff 34th
SR 28thYPP 40thEPA 48th
Rush defenseEff 27th
SR 27thYPP 31stEPA 26th
Dropback rate 58%Tempo +2.3 snaps/game vs. averageFaced pass defenses ranked 56th on average
Success rate by down

Their offense vs. what their defense allows.

1st · Offense: 47%1st · Defense allowed: 39%1st2nd · Offense: 42%2nd · Defense allowed: 39%2nd3rd/4th · Offense: 39%3rd/4th · Defense allowed: 36%3rd/4th
OffenseDefense allowed
Points by quarter

Scored vs. allowed, all regular-season games.

Q1 · Scored: 82.0Q1 · Allowed: 60.0Q1Q2 · Scored: 131.0Q2 · Allowed: 87.0Q2Q3 · Scored: 53.0Q3 · Allowed: 41.0Q3Q4 · Scored: 76.0Q4 · Allowed: 68.0Q4
ScoredAllowed

What kind of team is this?

Every team by offensive and defensive efficiency (points/game vs. an average team, higher is better on both). Click a dot for that team.

elite bothdefense-ledrebuildingoffense-ledClemsonOffenseDefense
Clemson Offense vs Defense, 2025
Offensive EffRanked 49th
+2.8
Field position: +0.6Finishing drives: +2.3
Field position +0.6Finishing drives +2.3= +2.8
Offensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 37th · Finishing 50th

Defensive EffRanked 37th
+4.9
Field position: +1.5Finishing drives: +3.3
Field position +1.5Finishing drives +3.3= +4.9
Defensive Eff efficiency split into field position and finishing

Field position 21st · Finishing 40th

2.22 points per drive on offense, 1.66 allowed — starting, on average, at their own 30.

Play-calling & efficiency

What the offense did, by quarter and by down — raw, not opponent-adjusted.

By quarter
Quarter (att.)Pass / rushSuccessYd/play
Q1(205)58% / 42%39%6.0
Q2(245)55% / 45%47%6.4
Q3(204)56% / 44%44%5.7
Q4(213)56% / 44%44%5.5
how play-calling and results shifted through games — (n) = plays, season total
Passing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(203)10.147%7.5
2nd(149)8.246%7.1
3rd(117)7.927%5.6
4th(19)5.553%8.1
All (488)42%6.9
Rushing by down
Down (att.)Avg. to goSuccessYd/play
1st(182)9.846%5.1
2nd(124)7.037%4.6
3rd(58)4.550%4.3
4th(15)1.773%0.9
All (379)45%4.6

Clemson, all games.